Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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VA-06 House election: Ben Cline vote percent
The odds
57%median
48%68%
Median 57%Middle half 54.33% – 59.67%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57% on Oct 20, 57% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 93% | 92¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 1.7K | |
| At least 52% | 90% | 86¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 10.00 | |
| At least 54% | 78% | ▼ 1 | 74¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 26.00 |
| At least 56% | 60% | ▼ 1 | 56¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 1.3K |
| At least 58% | 40% | ▼ 1 | 36¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 10.00 |
| At least 60% | 22% | ▼ 1 | 18¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 5.00 |
| At least 62% | 10% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 51.00 |
| At least 64% | 5% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.3K |
| At least 66% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 254 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Ben Cline
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Reese Bull | Ben Cline: The barbarian behind the scenes in CongressSixth District Congressman Ben Cline says protesters who disagree with him are “socialist barbarians.” Ben Cline is not an independent thinker. He simply repeats scripts given to him by his MAGA masters. Lacking plans to address real… -
Blogger reminds us of the Ben Cline selfies with Elon Musk, Vivek RamaswamyDOGE, seems so quaint now, doesn’t it? The latest news with Musk is that he decided on his own to throttle Ukrainian military access to Starlink, which has benefited from the $38 billion in federal taxpayer subsidies that we’ve given to… -
Reese Bull | The Trump $90 Medicare bribe, and Google’s $2,000 Ben Cline bribeI found an unexpected $90 in our online bank statement. It must be my wife’s Trump Medicare Bribe, because POTUS sent her a nice letter. My $90 has not arrived. No other president has offered a bribe for our votes, not even Tricky Dick… -
Virginia Dems working to raise awareness of help available for people in needThe Big Ugly Bill signed into law last summer was written to keep us from feeling the worst of the pain of trillions in healthcare and social safety net cuts until after the midterms – smooth move, honestly; that lets people like Ben Cline… - Yvonne Surette | On Congressman Ben Cline and the myth of ‘socialist barbarians’The phrase, “mom, apple pie and baseball” was coined in the early 20th century. No one is sure of its origins. It’s a kind of code for a certain ideal of an America – one where citizens can enjoy their favorite pastime in security and…
- EXCLUSIVE: Republican Study Committee leadership celebrates its 53rd birthday by looking to its future wins for House conservatives53 years ago, Republicans in Congress founded the Republican Study Committee (RSC), and Rep. August Pfluger (R., Texas), its current chairman, is using its latest birthday to argue that the caucus is the most relevant it has ever been…
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Open Forum: Listen to President TrumpPresident Donald Trump dances at a campaign rally at Heartland Credit Union Arena on Monday in Park City, Kan. Trump believes in tariffs. He has used them frequently to punish allies. If you believe that tariffs are good for the country… -
Hundreds rally in Grandin Village demanding statewide data center moratoriumMore than 200 Roanoke Valley residents gathered in Grandin Village on Wednesday afternoon, demanding Virginia lawmakers impose an immediate freeze on new data center approvals as Google explores two major regional facilities. Demonstrators… -
6th District race remains a battle of the party basesFormer Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin, left, shakes hands with Virginia Congressman Ben Cline after campaigning for him on Oct. 13 at the West Oaks Farm Market on Middle Road in Frederick County. Beth Macy, Congressional candidate for… -
Analysis: Where Beth Macy, Ben Cline are spending their campaign dollarsUsually, when us politics writers analyze campaign finance reports in a political race, we focus on where the money is coming from, but I wanted to do something different with the most recent data from the Ben Cline-Beth Macy race in the… - PhRMA Increases Covington Lobbying Amid Drug Patent DebateThe Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA) retained Covington & Burling LLP to lobby on drug patents, biosimilars, and Medicare pricing legislation during the third quarter, according to federal lobbying disclosures…
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Bettors pick a winner in Cline-Macy race; experts discuss whether to trust itBlacksburg, Va. (WDBJ) - You can bet on Congress like the Super Bowl. Whether that bet accurately predicts the winner is another question. According to Kalshi, more than $70,000 has been wagered on Virginia’s 6th Congressional District…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions