Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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VA-05 House election: John McGuire vote percent
The odds
50.96%median
44%64%
Median 50.96%Middle half 48.53% – 53.37%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.21% on Oct 20, 50.96% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 48% | 80% | 76¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 11.00 | |
| At least 50% | 61% | 57¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 2.7K | |
| At least 52% | 38% | 34¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 5.00 | |
| At least 54% | 19% | 15¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 3.5K | |
| At least 56% | 7% | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 405 | |
| At least 58% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 411 | |
| At least 60% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 200 | |
| At least 62% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, John McGuire
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At Issue: Oct. 25 focuses on political advertisements, Rep. John McGuire candidate profileROANOKE, Va. (WDBJ) - In less than two weeks, the votes will be in and you will know who will represent your hometown in Congress. But until then, the political advertisements will target you on every device and platform. At Issue this… -
Former Gov. Glenn Youngkin Campaigns for Rep. John McGuire in Charlottesville ahead of Election DayCHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. (CBS19 NEWS) — With Election Day approaching, former Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin joined U.S. Rep. John McGuire in Charlottesville Saturday evening, encouraging voters to support the congressman’s reelection… -
John McGuire offers new defense of ‘no’ vote on 2024 child marriage billFifth District MAGA Congressman John McGuire took to his socials on Wednesday to try to explain why he was the only member of the State Senate to vote against a 2024 bill to raise the minimum marriage age in Virginia from 16 to 18. Grab… -
Virginia Dems working to raise awareness of help available for people in needThe Big Ugly Bill signed into law last summer was written to keep us from feeling the worst of the pain of trillions in healthcare and social safety net cuts until after the midterms – smooth move, honestly; that lets people like Ben Cline… -
Rep. John McGuire talks immigration, gas prices and the Iran war ahead of mid-termsRICHMOND, Va. — With early voting underway ahead of Election Day on Tuesday, November 3, it's time to meet the candidates. Each of the major candidates in Virginia's US Senate race and the three Congressional races in the WTVR viewing area… -
Meet the Candidates: Representative John McGuireWe’re continuing our Decision 2026 coverage with Representative John McGuire. RICHMOND, Va. (WWBT) - We’re continuing our Decision 2026 coverage with Representative John McGuire. McGuire is the incumbent Republican candidate running for… -
McGuire and Griffith respond to concerned farmers and veterans10 News has the latest local breaking news and headlines from Roanoke, Virginia. Get Roanoke, Va., local TV news, Lynchburg, Va., headlines, national news, videos and more from NBC's local affiliate in Roanoke, Va. WSLS 10 Miles Reese… -
Perriello asks students to vote with Run to the Polls eventCHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. (CBS19 NEWS) -- Early voting numbers are surging across the Fifth District, and the University Democrats at UVA are trying to keep that momentum going with a Run to the Polls event. Fifth District Democratic candidate… -
Former UVA President Jim Ryan leads run to the polls for Tom PerrielloRyan and Perriello led a run of students Thursday morning to the Charlottesville registrar’s office, where the students could cast their early ballots. CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (CVILLE RIGHT NOW) – During his career in education, former… -
Why campaign mailings remain popular in the digital ageIf it feels like you’re getting more campaign mailers this year, you’re not wrong. In spite of more modern means of communication, Stephen Farnsworth – a retired professor of political science at the University of Mary Washington -- says… -
Former Rep. Tom Perriello speaks at a campaign event at Lynchburg's Miller ParkLynchburg News and Advance Javascript is required to use this website. Former Rep. Tom Perriello, D-5th District, who is running against incumbent Rep. John McGuire, R-5th, spoke at a campaign event at Lynchburg's Miller Park on Tuesday… -
GOP Congressman Has To Keep Explaining Why He Voted To Keep Child Marriage LegalThe midterms will shape our future. HuffPost holds power accountable. Become a member to keep independent journalism strong. The 2024 state legislature vote by Rep. John McGuire (R-Va.) is now the subject of an ad by his Democratic…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions