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VA-03 House election: Bobby Scott vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 71.52% on Oct 20, 73.04% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 66% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 68% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 70% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| At least 72% | 63% | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 1.2K | |
| At least 74% | 39% | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 600 | |
| At least 76% | 18% | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 3.0K | |
| At least 78% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 80% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Bobby Scott
Search ›- Reps. Al Green, Bobby Scott Among Lawmakers Targeted In Wave Of Suspicious MailingsReps. Al Green of Texas and Bobby Scott of Virginia are among the Democratic lawmakers who have dealt with suspicious mail containing unknown substances as federal authorities investigate similar incidents reported across the country…
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Exclusive / Three returning Democratic committee leaders still behind on duesRep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., is one of three House Democrats who have yet to pay their DCCC dues in full despite plans to return to top committee jobs next year, according to a draft of the DCCC’s September dues report seen by Semafor… -
Higher Education Costs and ChallengesFree money for eligible newborns: Children born between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2028, can qualify for a one-time $1,000 federal contribution to a Trump Account. You don't have to choose just one: Families can maintain both… -
FBI intercepts mail with 'suspicious substance' addressed to Rep. Bobby Scott's district officeNEWPORT NEWS, va. — U.S. Rep. Bobby Scott says the FBI intercepted mail containing a suspicious substance addressed to his district office, one of several similar incidents reported across the country. Scott, a Democrat who represents… -
This is what Daily Kos is forYes, this – electing more and better Democrats! We have a chance to help a Democrat right now. Many here know of her, much has been written about her. I’ve linked to just some of the pieces by several authors. The D Party blocked Jasmine… -
Reps. Vindman, Subramanyam among those to receive 'suspicious' lettersDemocratic U.S. Reps. Eugene Vindman, left, and Suhas Subramanyam Two Northern Virginia congressmen are among federal lawmakers who have received suspicious mail at their district offices in recent weeks. U.S. Reps. Suhas Subramanyam… -
Senior living provider advocates welcome workforce bill but urge broader structural reformsSenior living industry advocates say they support a bill that would create a five-year grant program to strengthen the direct care worker pipeline, but they say that work remains to address the underlying workforce challenges facing the… -
DeVos proposes spinning off federal student loans from Education Department into independent agencyAn aide said there's no bill language or other formal proposal available yet. 12/03/2019 3:25 PM EST RENO, Nev. — The Trump administration proposed Tuesday to break off the nearly $1.5 trillion federal student loan portfolio from the… -
Democrats press IG to release former Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer investigationChavez-DeRemer resigned Monday amid investigations into her and her husband. House Democrats are demanding that the Department of Labor watchdog release its findings from an expected investigation of former Labor Secretary Lori… -
W. Va. House of Del. incumbent Mallow to defend seat against LongstrethThe 2026 General Election will take place on Nov. 3. Early voting begins Oct. 21. Editor’s Note: The following is a part of a series of profiles on candidates running in the General Election being held Nov. 3. FAIRMONT, W.Va. — Republican… -
Community group hosting Stop the Violence, Get Out the Vote event in BirminghamBIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) - Community organizations are inviting the public to join a Stop the Violence and Get Out the Vote Walking Summit. Hosts for the event, happening Saturday, Oct. 17, include the Birmingham Black Nurses Association… -
We’re Sick of It: The Wheels Keep Turning as Protect Our Care Takes the Fight for Affordable Health Care to Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, and OhioUnited States Representatives Suhas Subramanyam (D-VA-10), James Walkinshaw (D-VA-11), Jennifer McClellan (D-VA-04), Bobby Scott (D-VA-03), Sanford Bishop (D-GA-03), Greg Landsman (D-OH-01), and Marcy Kaptur (D-OH-09) Headlined “Sick of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions