Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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TX-37 House election: Greg Casar vote percent
The odds
81.95%median
72%92%
Median 81.95%Middle half 79.13% – 84.26%
How the odds have moved
Median: 81.39% on Oct 20, 81.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 74% | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.4K | |
| At least 76% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 78% | 84% | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | ||
| At least 80% | 69% | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | ||
| At least 82% | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | ||
| At least 84% | 27% | 23¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 92.00 | |
| At least 86% | 12% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 16.00 |
| At least 88% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 3.3K | |
| At least 90% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Greg Casar
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Rep. Greg Casar faces first-time Republican candidate Lauren Peña in U.S. House District 37 raceU.S. Rep. Greg Casar, D-Austin, and first-time Republican candidate Lauren Peña are facing off to represent Texas District 37 in the U.S. House of Representatives next year. There are 435 representatives in the U.S. House, and Texas has… -
As AI layoff fears mount, lawmakers weigh a bigger safety net for workersUpdated on: October 23, 2026 / 3:06 PM CDT / CBS News As artificial intelligence capabilities improve, many Americans are worried that the technology could one day put them out of work — a possibility more lawmakers in Washington are… -
Elon Musk vows to fight back if Democrats investigate him after midterms: ‘Live by the sword, die by the sword’Elon Musk warned Wednesday that he would fight back against Democrats who are reportedly planning to target him with investigations if they gain control of the House in next month’s midterms. “Live by the sword, die by the sword,” Musk… -
Katie Miller warns that Democrats are serious about going after Trump staffers who commit crimesDemocrats have constantly scrutinized the legality of Trump’s policies on immigration, war and trade Katie Miller, the wife of White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, has warned about Democrats who want to go after President… -
13 US Lawmakers Press Meta on Brazil VoteRead our Brazil election 2026 runoff guide → Brazil election 2026 · Brazil election polls · Who will win: Brazil election odds · Brazil runoff date and results start · Brazil election results · Brazil election poll data (CSV) · All… -
Salgado Family Waited 105 Days. O'Rourke and Sanders Just Named It "Gestapo Tactics"The rally delivered something the Salgado family had been denied since July 7: a prominent national figure willing to name, on a political stage, what happened on Canal Street that morning. Billed as a stop on Sanders' "Fighting Oligarchy"… -
Jayapal, Sanders Demand Answers on Meta’s Potential Interference in Brazilian Elections“With Brazil’s runoff elections occurring in less than a week, we call for further clarification of these ‘measures’ and urge additional action to ensure that, going forward, candidates in democratic elections at home and abroad benefit… -
Jayapal, Sanders Question Zuckerberg Over Alleged Meta Interference in Brazilian ElectionSupporters of Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva hold masks depicting Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg with red horns during a demonstration in front of Meta's headquarters in São Paulo, Brazil, on October 19, 2026. "It is unacceptable… -
Beto O’Rourke says he can ‘feel the energy’ on the ground in TexasFormer Democratic candidate Beto O’Rourke claims the energy in Texas is “even greater” than in his 2018 run when he came within 3 percentage points of incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX). When asked by the Washington Examiner about the energy… -
Letter: Permit reason to prevailOn Oct. 20, I picked up my son, a senior at Rice, on a beautiful clear fall afternoon. He asked me for a ride to see Bernie Sanders at Wheeler Avenue Baptist Church. Positioned next to a polling center, many voters headed over to see… -
Why Engineers Should Brave Capitol HillLucas Laursen is the technology policy editor at IEEE Spectrum. During this year’s Congressional Visits Day, Nikhil Jathar [second from left] and three other IEEE members met with Nile Whitmore [middle], a legislative assistant for… -
Talarico skips Bernie Sanders rally in Texas, campaigns separately as Senate race heats upSen. Bernie Sanders and Beto O'Rourke rally Texas Democrats in El Paso as Senate candidate James Talarico campaigns separately in North Texas. Democratic Texas Senate candidate James Talarico skipped a Monday night rally headlined by Sen…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions