Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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TX-31 House election: John Carter vote percent
The odds
54.95%median
48%68%
Median 54.95%Middle half 52.28% – 57.71%
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.54% on Oct 22, 54.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 90% | ▲ 1 | 86¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 52% | 78% | ▲ 1 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | |
| At least 54% | 60% | ▲ 1 | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | |
| At least 56% | 40% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | |
| At least 58% | 23% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | |
| At least 60% | 11% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | |
| At least 62% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 8.00 | ||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, John Carter
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Candid Conversation: Affordability, veteran taxes and campaign stakes: Congressional candidate Justin Early outlines platform on Inside KilleenDemocrat Justin Early, who grew up in the Killeen area, is running for Congress against incumbent and longtime Congressman John Carter. Early was a guest this week on the Inside Killeen podcast, which is recorded at the Killeen Daily… -
2026 Candidate Q&A: Texas’s 31st Congressional District John Carter and Justin EarlyThe following Q&A was sent to each candidate in August 2026. Responses provided were submitted by the Sun’s press deadline in mid-October and fit within a given wordcount. 2026 Candidate Q&A: Texas’s 31st Congressional District John Carter… -
2026 November Election Guide: Candidate Q&As, polling locations and moreElection day is fast approaching, and registered voters in Williamson County can cast ballots in local, state and federal races. Early voting runs from October 19-30. Polls are open daily, from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m., except for Sunday, October… -
2026 Williamson County Election: Sample BallotThe following races and propositions will appear on November 2026 ballots in Williamson County. Please note, what appears on a voter's actual ballot may vary based on where they live. Ken Paxton — Republican Party James Talarico —… - Honeywell Aerospace Adds Innovative Federal Strategies for DefenseHoneywell Aerospace hires Innovative Federal Strategies to lobby on defense and appropriations. Read the filing details and see its lobbying roster today. Honeywell Aerospace Adds Innovative Federal Strategies for Defense Honeywell…
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ASI, Members of Congress Support American Sheep ProducersPUBLISHED ON October 13, 2026 The following Members of Congress signed on in bipartisan and bicameral support of the letter: Rep. Mark Amodei (R-NV) Rep. Jodey Arrington (R-TX) Rep. Brian Babin (R-TX) Rep. Jim Baird (R-IN) Rep. Cliff Bentz… -
Statesman Editorial Board Texas General Election RecommendationsCentral Texas voters face important choices this November, from the U.S. Senate race between James Talarico and Ken Paxton to the governor’s race between Greg Abbott and Gina Hinojosa. The ballot also includes Austin City Council races in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions