Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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TX-11 House election: August Pfluger vote percent
The odds
61.5%median
54%74%
Median 61.5%Middle half 58.94% – 64.74%
How the odds have moved
Median: 61.5% on Oct 25, 61.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 58% | 83% | ▲ 1 | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | |
| At least 60% | 67% | ▲ 1 | 62¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | |
| At least 62% | 45% | 43¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | ||
| At least 64% | 32% | ▲ 1 | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 220 |
| At least 66% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 10.00 |
| At least 68% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 8.00 | ||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Pfluger
Search ›-
PFLUGER FLY-BY: Oct. 18Welcome back to the Pfluger Fly-By, a weekly roundup of the work I am doing to represent you and our communities in Congress. I traveled to the U.S. Air Force Academy to convene the Board of Visitors and meet with cadets and Academy… -
Chairman Pfluger Unveils USAFA Board of Visitors Semiannual Report Ahead of Meeting in Colorado SpringsCongressman August Pfluger (TX-11), Chairman of the United States Air Force Academy (USAFA) Board of Visitors (BoV), formally sent the Board's comprehensive, forward-looking semiannual report of recommendations for the Academy to Secretary… -
2026 Candidate Q&A: Texas’s 11th Congressional District August Pfluger and Claire ReynoldsThe following Q&A was sent to each candidate in August 2026. Responses provided were submitted by the Sun’s press deadline in mid-October and fit within a given wordcount. Why did you choose to run for Congress? What part of the district… - Press Release: August Pfluger Releases USAFA Board of Visitors Semiannual Report Ahead of Colorado Springs MeetingUSAFA board report released: Rep. August Pfluger, who chairs the U.S. Air Force Academy Board of Visitors, said he sent the board’s semiannual report and recommendations to Secretary of War Pete Hegseth ahead of a meeting in Colorado…
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Pfluger: Texas-11 Hospitals Get Support from Rural Health Transformation ProgramI am proud to have delivered a $750,000 investment to Concho County Hospital, Ballinger Memorial Hospital, and North Runnels Hospital through the Rural Health Transformation Program, a $50 billion national initiative to strengthen rural… - Pfluger's Mystic Alerts Act Heads to President Trump's DeskRep. Pfluger introduced this bipartisan legislation alongside Reps. Lizzie Fletcher (TX-07), Buddy Carter (GA-01), and Marc Veasey (TX-33). Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) and Senator Jon Ossoff (D-GA) led the Senate companion legislation…
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10.75%median
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13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
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Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions