Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.54%median
14%34%
Median 27.54%Middle half 25.28% – 29.95%
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TX-04 House election: Pat Fallon vote percent
The odds
58.14%median
50%70%
Median 58.14%Middle half 55.64% – 60.69%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.68% on Oct 20, 58.14% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 54% | 89% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | |
| At least 56% | 72% | ▲ 1 | 68¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 605 |
| At least 58% | 52% | ▲ 1 | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 2.5K |
| At least 60% | 31% | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | ||
| At least 62% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 64% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 68% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Pat Fallon
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Pat Fallon Moves to Put Trump’s Cyber Defense Plan Into LawRepresentative Pat Fallon (R-TX) is pushing legislation to strengthen U.S. cyber defenses by codifying President Donald Trump’s executive order establishing the National Coordination Center (NCC). The National Coordination Center and… -
Did the Texas Legislature accidentally imperil billions of dollars in business taxes?by Edgar Walters, The Texas Tribune May 21, 2019 The 86th Legislature runs from Jan. 8 to May 27. From the state budget to health care to education policy — and the politics behind it all — we focus on what Texans need to know about the… -
GOP Rep. Fallon: ‘Republicans Will Certainly Outperform the Polls’Although many political prognostications predict a big night for Democrats in next month's midterm elections, Rep. Pat Fallon (R-TX) says he believes Republicans will perform better than expected. The post GOP Rep. Fallon: ‘Republicans… -
In the crowd: Barbs, cheers and battle cries in Texas’ heated Senate raceDALLAS — The attacks were personal. The appeals were urgent. And the warnings about what was at stake went far beyond Texas. As Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico rallied supporters across North Texas in the opening days of… -
Grayson County voters head to the polls as early voting begins for Midterm electionsSHERMAN, Texas (KXII) - Monday marked the start of early voting in Texas. You’ve probably heard about some of the races at the top of the ballot, but there are plenty of other important choices to make. “It’s the only opportunity that we… -
Rep. Pat Fallon Introduces National Coordination Center and Commercial Cyber Capabilities Codification ActRep. Pat Fallon (TX-04) is proud to introduce the National Coordination Center and Commercial Cyber Capabilities Coordination Act, which would codify into law the Trump Administration’s existing Executive Order 14390 and National Security… - Press Release: Pat Fallon Introduces Bill to Codify Cyber Coordination and Private Sector CapabilitiesRep. Pat Fallon proposes codifying federal cybercrime coordination and private-sector cyber defense efforts into law. Fallon introduces cyber bill: Rep. Pat Fallon says he has introduced the National Coordination Center and Commercial…
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Cybersecurity Policy Report, House Bill Would Codify White House Plan to Enlist Private-Sector Hackers, (Oct 16, 2026)A presidential directive that seeks to recruit private-sector entities to conduct offensive cyber operations against overseas cyber criminals would be codified under legislation introduced by Rep. Pat Fallon (R., Texas). The National… -
Fox Biz Host Challenges Texas Republican Who Uses Slur To Claim Talarico Is ‘Out Of Touch’ With VotersFox Business Network’s Brian Brenberg disputed Rep. Pat Fallon’s (R-TX) contention that Senate candidate James Talarico (D) was “out of touch” with Texas voters. Fallon appeared on the Big Money in the Morning Show Friday, where he used a… -
Early voting begins Monday for Nov. 3 general electionSHERMAN, Texas (KXII) – Early voting begins Monday in Texas for the Nov. 3 general election. At the top of this year’s ballot, Texas voters will choose their next U.S. Senator between Republican Ken Paxton, the state’s current Attorney… -
Public Sector workers commence strike action in North WestWednesday, 14th October, 2026 A national strike by public sector workers is underway in an ongoing dispute over pay. Schools and colleges will be closed, while non-emergency procedures and operations have been cancelled in hospitals as… -
Notre Dame Graduates Battle for Seats in the 2026 MidtermsThe 2026 midterm elections are fast approaching, and citizens around the country are beginning to register to vote and cast their ballots. Anticipation for the midterms is also taking place at Notre Dame, as the student government promotes…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions