Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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TN-09 House election: Justin Pearson vote percent
The odds
45.68%median
34%54%
Median 45.68%Middle half 43.26% – 47.95%
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.72% on Oct 19, 45.68% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 42% | 86% | 81¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 12.00 | |
| At least 44% | 69% | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 422 | |
| At least 46% | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 200 | |
| At least 48% | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | ||
| At least 50% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 52% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TN- House, Justin Pearson
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Memphis Approves 135-Day Data Center Permit Moratorium, Orders New Regulations in Blow to Democrat TN-9 Nominee Justin PearsonThe Memphis City Council on Tuesday approved an ordinance establishing new regulations for data centers used for artificial intelligence (AI), now renamed super intelligence (SI) by the Trump administration, in a development characterized… -
Rep. Justin Pearson to address lawsuit challenging Memphis City Council meeting bansThe news conference is scheduled for Tuesday, Oct. 20, at 8:30 a.m. outside Memphis City Hall, located at 125 N. Main St. Pearson and several other plaintiffs filed the lawsuit last week against Memphis City Council Chairwoman Jana… -
Democrats add 6 House races to their 2026 'red to blue' target listThe Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added six House of Representatives races to its "Red to Blue" program, a sign that Democrats are optimistic about their prospects in the 2026 midterm elections, thanks to a string of polls… -
Memphis Wants to Be the “Digital Delta.” Its Residents Want to Breathe.Protesters hold signs at the Memphis City Council meeting on October 20.Justin Ford/Getty The crowd at Memphis City Council on Tuesday night spilled out the door, undeterred by “enhanced security measures” like a clear-bags-only policy and… -
Velshi Cues Democrats to Call for Irrelevant Gun Laws After Bend ShootingOn Thursday's The 11th Hour, in the aftermath of the Bend, Oregon, school shooting, MS NOW host Ali Velshi gave a forum to State Representative Justin Pearson (D-TN) and Congresswoman Janelle Bynum (D-OR) to call for gun laws that are not… -
Judge sides with Pearson in battle over Memphis Council banThe Black Chronicle (The Center Square) – A U.S. District Court judge said the Memphis City Council’s ban on Tennessee congressional candidate Justin Pearson would lead Pearson to “suffer an injury” to his First Amendment rights, clearing… -
“Win, Lose, Or Draw,” Justin Pearson’s Campaign Builds Progressive Coalition In Rural TennesseeBlack ★ Star News Home - News - “Win, Lose, Or Draw,” Justin Pearson’s Campaign Builds Progressive Coalition In Rural Tennessee By Katherine Burgess|Drop Site News: Cherie Marceaux lives in Lawrence County, about three hours from Memphis… -
LIVE🔴: Press conference after judge blocks council from banning attendees following chaotic AI data center voteMEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) - A judge has temporarily blocked a council chair from banning six people from Tuesday’s meeting after a contentious Oct. 6 vote on an AI data center moratorium. More than 400 people attended the Oct. 6 meeting, which… -
Memphis City Council to revisit data center vote following recent protestsMEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) - Memphis City Council members are set to return to a proposed data center moratorium later today, with the goal of a final vote. The council is revisiting the same 12-month moratorium that was under consideration Oct… -
City council announces enhanced security measures for meetingMEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) - Memphis city council is instituting security measures for its meeting Tuesday. The council announced Monday that clear bags will be required for anyone in attendance. All bags must be clear and no larger than 6x8x2… -
Federal judge hears arguments over Memphis City Council meeting banMEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) - A federal judge heard arguments Monday over a ban preventing a group of six people, including state Rep. Justin Pearson, from attending Tuesday’s Memphis City Council meeting, where members are scheduled to vote on… -
Rep. Justin Pearson sues Memphis alleging First Amendment violationAfter being banned from Memphis City Council meetings, state Rep. Justin J. Pearson filed suit Tuesday against the city alleging the action violates the First Amendment. In the suit, which was filed in the U.S. District Court of West…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions