Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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TN-08 House election: David Kustoff vote percent
The odds
57.55%median
46%68%
Median 57.55%Middle half 54.81% – 60.21%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57.97% on Oct 20, 57.55% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 50% | 96% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 52% | 92% | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 1.3K | |
| At least 54% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 644 | |
| At least 56% | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| At least 58% | 46% | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | ||
| At least 60% | 27% | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | ||
| At least 62% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 64% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 410 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TN- House, David Kustoff
Search ›- Congressional Family Business Caucus Signs Rep. Tim Moore as 51st MemberLawmakers Hear Directly from Family Business Leaders on Capitol Hill Washington DC, United States, October 21, 2026 — The bipartisan Congressional Family Business Caucus saw its 51st member, Rep. Tim Moore (R-NC), join its bipartisan ranks…
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Congressional candidates for Shelby County districts raise combined $4.6M in 90 daysThird-quarter reports show massive cash infusions into races for Tennessee districts 9 and 5 Candidates for Tennessee’s three newly drawn congressional seats that represent parts of Shelby County raised a combined $4.6 million in the 90… - No end in sight for Memphis Safe Task ForceThen-Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche appears before the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee on Capitol Hill in Washington on July 15. (Mark Schiefelbein/AP file) U.S. Attorney General Todd Blanche said Friday, Oct. 16, the Memphis Safe…
- President Trump signed a law giving people whose Social Security number was misused or whose card went missing a single point of contact at the agencyPresident Trump signed a law on October 7 that requires the Social Security Administration to give people whose Social Security number was misused, or whose card was lost, a single point of contact at the agency. The bill is H.R. 5345, the…
- Pool Reports of October 10, 2026Pool Reports by Laura Figueroa, Newsday In-Town Pool Report 1 - Gathering Pool and press has been called to the Palm Room Doors at 12:05p to gather for POTUS departure In-Town Pool Report 2 — Stopped for questions/ Wheels up POTUS walked…
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Mark Proctor, Bill Hancock vie for TN House District 59A competitive state house race in Nashville may serve as a litmus test on scope rather than a simple measure of right vs. left. Tennessee House District 59, which spans much of southern Davidson County from Belle Meade to Cane Ridge, is up… -
Trump Just Signed a Social Security Identity-Theft Law. I’m a CPA — Here’s What It Won’t DoThe new law helps victims clean up after identity theft. Here's what it won't do, and the free fixes that will. October 13, 2026 • Advertising Disclosure Money Talks News may earn commission or revenue through links in the content below…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions