Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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OK-04 House election: Tom Cole vote percent
The odds
63.81%median
54%74%
Median 63.81%Middle half 61.2% – 66.4%
How the odds have moved
Median: 64.25% on Oct 19, 63.81% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 96% | ▲ 2 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 58% | 94% | ▲ 4 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 60% | 84% | ▲ 3 | 79¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | |
| At least 62% | 69% | ▼ 1 | 65¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | |
| At least 64% | 48% | ▼ 9 | 43¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 5.00 |
| At least 66% | 28% | ▼ 14 | 23¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 5.00 |
| At least 68% | 13% | ▼ 17 | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 37.00 |
| At least 70% | 5% | ▼ 14 | 9¢ | $11.11 | 5.00 | |
| At least 72% | 3% | ▼ 8 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OK- House, Tom Cole
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Peter Morici: Social Security needs growth, not another tax hikeCongress is finally focusing on the looming Social Security crisis. Without further cuts in benefits or higher payroll taxes, the Social Security Administration projects that the trust fund for old-age pensions will be depleted by 2033. As… -
Oklahoma lawmakers seek more than $500 million in federal funding for local projectsFY 2027 appropriations bills have yet to be approved by Congress, but when they eventually come to the floor, an incentive for many lawmakers to vote yes will be the funding for locally important projects they contain. Key Rules & Limits… -
FY'26 Community Project Funding RequestsHouse Appropriations Committee Chairman Tom Cole announced that the House Committee on Appropriations will be accepting Community Project Funding (CPF) requests from Members. This is in addition to the standard programmatic and… - FY'25 Community Project Funding RequestsHouse Appropriations Committee Chairman Tom Cole announced that the House Committee on Appropriations will be accepting Community Project Funding (CPF) requests from Members. This is in addition to the standard programmatic and…
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Oklahoma elections: Meet candidates running for the state's 4th congressional districtU.S. flag flies over the Capitol. A member of the Chickasaw Nation, Tom Cole chairs the powerful U.S. House appropriations committee. He said he'll fight for energy independence, Second Amendment rights and to protect the state's military… -
New Freedom Caucus Chair Andy Harris brings spending power to head of conservative groupHouse Appropriations chief Tom Cole said he told Harris, "Congratulations and condolences.” Rep. Andy Harris will have to run again for the Freedom Caucus gavel in December. | Francis Chung/POLITICO 09/18/2024 1:00 PM EDT The House Freedom… -
2026 Midterm Elections: Meet the candidates running for Oklahoma's Fourth Congressional DistrictIt's almost time for the midterm elections in Oklahoma, and there are many local and statewide races on the ballot outside of key federal races. IMPORTANT ELECTION INFORMATION: Voting 101 | Finding Your Polling Place | Finding Your Sample… -
A Major Republican Just Said Social Security Tax Hikes Are No Longer off the Table - Here’s What To KnowSome GOP lawmakers are open to raising Social Security taxes. Social Security taxes have long been an area where Republicans have resisted increases, but some GOP lawmakers are now signaling that more tax revenue may have to be part of any… -
Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District candidates share plans to address affordabilityCandidates for Oklahoma's Fourth Congressional District seat discussed their views on affordability and shared their plans to lower the cost of living if elected. Candidates for Oklahoma's Fourth Congressional District seat shared their… -
A record number of Native Americans are running in 2026 midterm electionsCANDIDATE: Former Department of the Interior Secretary Deb Haaland, seen on Sept. 13, is running for governor in New Mexico. Paul Ratje/For The Washington Post A Native American woman has never held a governorship or a seat in the U.S…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions