Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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OK-04 House election: Mitchell Jacob vote percent
The odds
35.52%median
26%46%
Median 35.52%Middle half 32.94% – 38.24%
How the odds have moved
Median: 34.5% on Oct 24, 35.52% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 97% | ▲ 10 | 94¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 30% | 94% | ▲ 14 | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 32% | 83% | ▲ 16 | 78¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 14.00 |
| At least 34% | 66% | ▲ 13 | 61¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | |
| At least 36% | 45% | ▲ 6 | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | |
| At least 38% | 27% | ▼ 1 | 23¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | |
| At least 40% | 14% | ▼ 3 | 12¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| At least 42% | 7% | ▼ 3 | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | |
| At least 44% | 3% | ▼ 2 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 9.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OK- House, Mitchell Jacob
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2026 Midterm Elections: Meet the candidates running for Oklahoma's Fourth Congressional DistrictIt's almost time for the midterm elections in Oklahoma, and there are many local and statewide races on the ballot outside of key federal races. IMPORTANT ELECTION INFORMATION: Voting 101 | Finding Your Polling Place | Finding Your Sample… -
Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District candidates share plans to address affordabilityCandidates for Oklahoma's Fourth Congressional District seat discussed their views on affordability and shared their plans to lower the cost of living if elected. Candidates for Oklahoma's Fourth Congressional District seat shared their…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions