Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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OH-14 House election: Dave Joyce vote percent
The odds
56.85%median
50%70%
Median 56.85%Middle half 54.17% – 59.59%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57.21% on Oct 19, 56.85% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 54% | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 400 | |
| At least 56% | 59% | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 200 | |
| At least 58% | 39% | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | ||
| At least 60% | 22% | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 2.0K | |
| At least 62% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 64% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 68% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Dave Joyce
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House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… -
'Panic has set in': GOP braces for wipeout as lawmakers facing 'toxic' environmentDread is spreading through the House Republican Conference as the midterms approach, according to a report on the mood inside the party flagged by Jake Sherman of Punchbowl News. To put it simply, said Sherman in a post to X, "panic has… -
What effect could Ohio's midcycle redistricting have on congressional races?Ohio underwent a midcycle redistricting last year that reshaped several of the state’s congressional districts. While several states used their midcycle redistricting to draw stronger lines for Republicans across their states, David Cohen… - What affect could Ohio's midcycle redistricting have on congressional races?Ohio underwent a mid-cycle redistricting last year that reshaped several of the state’s congressional districts. While several states used their mid-cycle redistricting to draw stronger lines for Republicans across their states, David…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions