Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.54%median
14%34%
Median 27.54%Middle half 25.28% – 29.95%
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OH-11 House election: Shontel Brown vote percent
The odds
81.25%median
70%90%
Median 81.25%Middle half 77.18% – 85.15%
How the odds have moved
Median: 82.42% on Oct 19, 81.25% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 72% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 74% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 76% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| At least 78% | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| At least 80% | 57% | 53¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 200 | |
| At least 82% | 46% | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 200 | |
| At least 84% | 35% | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | ||
| At least 86% | 18% | 14¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | ||
| At least 88% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Shontel Brown
Search ›- Shontel Brown introduces legislation to regulate AI-generated campaign contentSpectrum News Get the best experience and stay connected to your community with our Spectrum News app. Learn More Shontel Brown introduces legislation to regulate AI-generated campaign content COLUMBUS, Ohio — Congressperson Shontel Brown…
- Press Release: Shontel Brown Introduces Bill Requiring Labels on AI-Generated Campaign ContentBrown proposes a bill requiring AI disclaimers on campaign content and banning deceptive election-related AI use. Brown proposes new election-content rules: Rep. Shontel Brown has introduced the “Securing Elections from AI Deception Act,”…
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Obama describes Trump as an agent of ‘chaos and cruelty’ in midterm elections pitchCLEVELAND — Former President Barack Obama, appearing here Saturday at his first campaign rally for this fall’s midterm elections, characterized President Donald Trump as an agent of “chaos and cruelty” and a man of broken promises. And in… -
Obama Skewers Trump in Ohio Rally BlastCLEVELAND, Ohio, Barack Obama returned to the campaign trail Saturday with a sharp-edged appeal for Democrats, telling a packed crowd in Cleveland that President Donald Trump has delivered little more than disorder, cruelty and broken… -
Tech bills of the week: Preventing AI model theft; Regulating AI-generated political content; and moreA proposal from Reps. Pat Harrigan, R-N.C., and George Whitesides, D-Calif., looks to prevent distillation attacks against U.S.-made AI models by directing the National Institute for Standards and Technology to develop voluntary industry… -
'Intended to intimidate': AOC responds with ice-cold words after mystery envelopes are sent to her office and those of 8 top lawmakersRep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said suspicious mailings to congressional offices appeared aimed at intimidating public servants after a letter reached her Bronx district office. She and at least eight other lawmakers announced on October 20… -
Brown Introduces Legislation to Require Labels on AI-Generated Campaign ContentWashington, DC – Congresswoman Shontel Brown (OH-11) has introduced the Securing Elections from AI Deception Act, legislation to prohibit the use of artificial intelligence (AI) to deprive or defraud individuals of their right to vote and… -
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… - At least nine more lawmakers say they were targets of suspicious mail - BreitbartOct. 21 (UPI) — At least nine U.S. lawmakers announced Tuesday that suspicious envelopes had been mailed to their offices, the latest in a wave of similar mailings targeting federal legislators from both parties in the past week. More than…
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Reps. Smith, Budzinski Lead Letter Urging Support For America’s Biofuel IndustryReps. Smith, Budzinski Lead Letter Urging Support For America?s Biofuel Industry Renewable Energy Magazine In the letter, the lawmakers ask the administration to uphold its commitment to American grown energy by proposing a supplemental…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions