Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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NY-25 House election: Virginia McIntyre vote percent
The odds
33.48%median
24%44%
Median 33.48%Middle half 30.94% – 35.86%
How the odds have moved
Median: 33.42% on Oct 20, 33.48% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 26% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 28% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 30% | 84% | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | ||
| At least 32% | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 485 | |
| At least 34% | 45% | 41¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 5.7K | |
| At least 36% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 38% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 40% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.9K | ||
| At least 42% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Virginia McIntyre
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… - Small donors support helping grassroots candidates over the finish lineAs candidates finish the final leg of their campaigns heading into Election Day, there’s a surge of big donors pouring millions into both state and national races. But what about small campaign donations and their impact on helping…
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Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… - New York's 25th Congressional District candidates on the campaign trailSpectrum News 1 is taking an in-depth look at some of the political races in upstate New York, including the one in New York’s 25th Congressional District where a county legislator is trying to unseat the incumbent congressman. Both…
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NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October… -
Early voting starts Oct. 24: Guide to polling sites and key races across the regionROCHESTER, N.Y. — It’s the countdown until early voting starts for the general election. Early voting in New York State begins on Saturday, Oct. 24 and runs through Sunday, Nov. 1. You can also vote on Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 3. This… -
New: How the 'Mamdanification' of the Dem Party Could Be Their Undoing in a Crucial NY House RaceWhen Zohran Mamdani became the Democrat mayoral nominee in New York City in the summer of 2025, many political observers wondered whether the second-place finisher, disgraced former NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo, would somehow emerge victorious in… -
Up for the challengeThe two best compliments Virginia McIntyre says she has received as a freshman Monroe County legislator are a comparison to a local political legend and an acknowledgment of her willingness to stand apart from her own party—an independent…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions