Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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NY-21 House election: Blake Gendebien vote percent
The odds
47.7%median
32%54%
Median 47.7%Middle half 45.35% – 49.95%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.6% on Oct 20, 47.7% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 36% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 407 | ||
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 40% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | 3.3K | ||
| At least 42% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | 2.9K | ||
| At least 44% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 167 | |
| At least 46% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 411 | |
| At least 48% | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 703 | |
| At least 50% | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 10.00 | |
| At least 52% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Blake Gendebien
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Constantino controversy clouds Republicans' chances in NY-21Republican congressional candidate Anthony Constantino debated a chicken as he mocked his Democratic opponent, Blake Gendebien, at a rally in Amsterdam. (Jim Franco/Times Union) Republican Anthony Constantino says he is running for… -
Hilarious! Anthony Constantino Debates His Democrat Opponent in NY 21 and a Chicken Shows Up! (VIDEO)Anthony Constantino, the CEO of Sticker Mule, won his primary race in June against the Republican Party-endorsed candidate, Assemblymember Robert Smullen. Constantino won the primary race earning almost 60 percent of the vote in his… -
Antifa supporter charged with stealing GOP campaign signs in NY race to replace Stefanik‘The Rubin Report’ host Dave Rubin evaluates statistics alleging that college students are OK with violence to stop controversial speakers on ‘The Will Cain Show.’ A New York man was arrested after he was allegedly captured on video… -
Over Easy: A prolonged scary seasonOctober is National Scary Month, now that Halloween has morphed into something much longer. Ogres, grim reapers and ghouls gather on neighborhood lawns. Mechanized horribles are for sale at Home Depot. A 12-foot-tall skeleton with piercing… -
Churchill: Think you know Constantino vs. Gendebien? Take this election quiz!With Election Day looming, I'm here to test your knowledge of the ridiculous — otherwise known as politics. I'll start with questions about the race in the North Country, where a big upset could be in the works, before testing your… -
Editorial: It’s time to flip CongressPresident Donald J. Trump has been imploring Republican voters to “pretend I’m on the ballot” in the midterm elections. There’s no need, really, to pretend. This election, particularly for seats in the U.S. Senate and the House of… -
Democrats add 6 House races to their 2026 'red to blue' target listThe Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added six House of Representatives races to its "Red to Blue" program, a sign that Democrats are optimistic about their prospects in the 2026 midterm elections, thanks to a string of polls… -
Constantino gets Fraternal Order of Police endorsement for CongressAnthony T. Constantino has earned the endorsement of the New York State Fraternal Order of Police in the NY-21 Congressional race, adding onto his endorsement from the International Union of Police Associations and tipping the cop-group… -
Early voting begins Saturday ahead of Nov. 3 general electionSARATOGA COUNTY, N.Y. –– Beginning Saturday, Oct. 24, those who wish to get out and cast their ballots ahead of Election Day can do so, with early voting locations set to open at a variety of sites throughout the county. Those wishing to… -
Who is Anthony Constantino? Everything you need to know about the NY-21 candidateAnthony Constantino is a New York businessman who is running as a Republican for the New York 21st Congressional District seat. He is running to replace incumbent Elise Stefanik, also a Republican, who has held the district's seat for six… -
Constantino will debate mystery Democrat on SaturdayCongressional candidate Anthony Constantino answers questions Tuesday at the CBS6 studios in Niskayuna. His Democratic opponent, Blake Gendebien, declined to take part. AMSTERDAM — In the greatest mystery since “It’s the Great Pumpkin…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions