Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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NY-21 House election: Anthony Constantino vote percent
The odds
50.38%median
44%64%
Median 50.38%Middle half 48.05% – 52.71%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52% on Oct 19, 50.38% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 48% | 76% | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| At least 50% | 55% | 50¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 338 | |
| At least 52% | 31% | 27¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 221 | |
| At least 54% | 14% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 294 | |
| At least 56% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 58% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Anthony Constantino
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Hilarious! Anthony Constantino Debates His Democrat Opponent in NY 21 and a Chicken Shows Up! (VIDEO)Anthony Constantino, the CEO of Sticker Mule, won his primary race in June against the Republican Party-endorsed candidate, Assemblymember Robert Smullen. Constantino won the primary race earning almost 60 percent of the vote in his… -
Who is Anthony Constantino? Everything you need to know about the NY-21 candidateAnthony Constantino is a New York businessman who is running as a Republican for the New York 21st Congressional District seat. He is running to replace incumbent Elise Stefanik, also a Republican, who has held the district's seat for six… -
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Is Constantino’s brash social media persona landing with voters?Anthony Constantino, who is running for outgoing Rep. Elise Stefanik’s seat, has been known to have quite the presence on social media. Jim Franco/Albany Times Union via Getty Images Roger Stone, known as one of the biggest assholes in… -
Constantino controversy clouds Republicans' chances in NY-21Republican congressional candidate Anthony Constantino debated a chicken as he mocked his Democratic opponent, Blake Gendebien, at a rally in Amsterdam. (Jim Franco/Times Union) Republican Anthony Constantino says he is running for… -
AOC’s ‘champagne communist’ campaign lives it up at luxury hotels, splurging nearly $50K on stays across USRep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s re-election campaign has spent big bucks on posh hotels — shelling out nearly $50,000 on upscale stays in the past seven months — as the democratic socialist darling rallies against the wealthy, The Post has… - Trump-Backed MAGA Rapper’s Cage Fighting Money Trail ExposedAnthony Constantino’s campaign paid nearly $56,000 to a fight promotion he was negotiating to buy. One of Donald Trump’s handpicked congressional candidates paid tens of thousands of dollars in campaign funds to an MMA promoter while…
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Gendebien campaigns in AkwesasneAKWESASNEâ The Democratic candidate running to represent New Yorkâs 21st Congressional District in the upcoming midterm elections, Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer from Lisbon, was at the Akwesasne Cultural Center off State Route 37 on… -
MAGA House candidate’s campaign paid $56K to cage-fighting firm he now owns: reportTrump-backed House candidate Anthony Constantino’s campaign paid nearly $56,000 to a cage-fighting promotion a week after his spokesman confirmed Constantino was in talks to buy into it, and he now owns the company outright, PunchUp… -
Lifestyles of the rich and communist: AOC travels in luxury while bashing billionairesAnalysis by WorldTribune Staff / 247 Real News October 25, 2026 Is she for real? Voters could heed her persuasive diction or simply watch her behavior. New York socialist (actually a communist according to the president of the United… -
Antifa supporter charged with stealing GOP campaign signs in NY race to replace Stefanik‘The Rubin Report’ host Dave Rubin evaluates statistics alleging that college students are OK with violence to stop controversial speakers on ‘The Will Cain Show.’ A New York man was arrested after he was allegedly captured on video… -
Champagne Communist: AOC Campaign Blows Nearly $50K On Luxury HotelsAuthored by Steve Watson via Modernity, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's re-election campaign has spent nearly $50,000 on luxury and upscale hotel stays across the country since April, according to a New York Post analysis of Federal…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions