Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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NY-16 House election: John Wilson vote percent
The odds
14%At least 1%
0%8%
How the odds have moved
At least 1%: 13% on Oct 19, 14% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Oct 22, 4 PM ETAt least 1%: 14% → 5%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 14% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 5.1K | |
| At least 2% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 840 | ||
| At least 3% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 4.3K | ||
| At least 4% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.2K | ||
| At least 5% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 269 | ||
| At least 6% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.3K | ||
| At least 7% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, John Wilson
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Derek Dobies and John Wilson: Meet Jackson’s mayoral candidatesJACKSON, Mich. (News 10) - It’s down to two candidates competing to become Jackson’s next mayor: former Mayor Derek Dobies and longtime candidate John Wilson, with Election Day two weeks away. Dobies was the city of Jackson’s mayor from… -
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… -
‘Wow’: Trump DOJ official sparks fury with stunning voter fraud crackdown admissionActing Deputy Attorney General Trent McCotter sparked outrage Monday after acknowledging that the Trump administration’s voter fraud crackdown could mistakenly sweep up American citizens. McCotter, the DOJ’s second in command, made the… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October… -
Imran Khan calls exit notice ‘illegal, perverse’ in Bombay High Court petitionActor Imran Khan has approached the Bombay High Court to challenge a notice directing him to leave India by October 28 over his alleged participation in a political protest. The 43-year-old actor, who holds US citizenship and an Overseas… -
New: How the 'Mamdanification' of the Dem Party Could Be Their Undoing in a Crucial NY House RaceWhen Zohran Mamdani became the Democrat mayoral nominee in New York City in the summer of 2025, many political observers wondered whether the second-place finisher, disgraced former NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo, would somehow emerge victorious in… -
Historic district landowner can continue building despite being too close to property line. Mayor breaks tie.St. Francisville Mayor Andy D’Aquilla broke a tie to overrule a Historic District Commission decision involving a structure built too close to a property line. D’Aquilla was forced to vote Oct. 13 when the Board of Aldermen split 2-2 on… -
Tribute event for former Tánaiste to take place in Cavan tonightThe event will take place in the Hotel Kilmore at 7.30pm. Guests from a variety of fields will speak at a tribute event for former Tánaiste and Cavan man John P. Wilson in the Hotel Kilmore at 7.30pm. The event, which is hosted by the John… -
Q-and-A with Benton County commissioner candidatesVoters will fill an open seat on the Benton County Board of Commissioners in the Nov. 3 general election with a choice between Pacific Green Party candidate James Dashiell and Democrat John Wilson. The Position 1 seat opened when Wilson… -
How NYU Can Fix Its Free Speech CrisisI don’t necessarily agree that NYU is the worst college in America for free speech, but it has serious problems that it needs to fix. By John K. Wilson NYU gets a terrible rating from FIRE for three reasons: 1) Student surveys show low… -
Local TD remembers John P. Wilson ahead of tribute eventA local TD has paid tribute to former Tánaiste John P. Wilson, who will be remembered in an event this Thursday night at 7.30pm in the Hotel Kilmore. John Wilson, from Kilcogy in Co. Cavan, was a Fianna Fáil TD for Cavan and Monaghan who…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions