Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NY-13 House election: Darializa Avila Chevalier vote percent
The odds
86.03%median
76%96%
Median 86.03%Middle half 84.54% – 87.47%
How the odds have moved
Median: 85.63% on Oct 19, 86.03% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 78% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 80% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 82% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 84% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| At least 85% | 69% | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | ||
| At least 86% | 51% | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | ||
| At least 87% | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| At least 88% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 90% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 92% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 94% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Darializa Avila Chevalier, NY- House
Search ›- New York voters need more genuine general-election choices — or democracy is doomedWe’d love to endorse a general-election opponent against the likes of toxically leftist Darializa Avila Chevalier — but the combination of relentless Democratic gerrymandering and the sad state of New York’s Republican Party leaves no room…
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The DSA Is Growing in Congress – and So Is Its Leverage Over Democrats on IsraelA new class of democratic-socialist candidates wants to end U.S. military support for Israel, setting up a test of how much influence the party's left flank can wield from inside the House The DSA Is Growing in Congress – and So Is Its… -
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Jewish Democrats face dilemma as anti-Israel candidates gain ground in party primariesFrom Dr. Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan to Chris Rabb in Philadelphia to Darializa Avila Chevalier in New York City, Democratic primary voters nominated candidates who accused Israel of genocide, forcing Jews to choose between backing nominees… -
EXCLUSIVE–Stephen Wagley Says Today’s Democrats Are Openly Socialist and CommunistStephen Wagley, a Republican candidate for Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District, said Saturday that Democrats are now openly willing to call themselves socialists or communists. Speaking with host Matthew Boyle on Breitbart News… -
Mamdani campaigns with Hochul in Brooklyn ahead of early voting’s startMayor Mamdani and Gov. Hochul hit McCarren Park in Williamsburg, a lefty stronghold for the mayor, to urge New Yorkers to vote on Friday, hours before the start of early voting. Enthusiasm — mostly for the mayor — rippled through the park… -
Mamdani-backed congressional candidate says he was detained by Israeli military'The Five' comments on the Democratic Party's messaging and internal division as New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani faces criticism over his policy agenda. The panel also discusses the arrests of Democratic Socialists of America members… - The divide among Mamdani allies over reforming the NYPDPublished Oct 22, 2026 at 11:01 a.m. ET This column originally appeared in The Politics Brief, our weekly newsletter on the people, power and policies that shape New Yorkers' lives. ICE’s shooting of a Dominican man in Marble Hill earlier…
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The Machine Behind the Democratic Party’s Radical TransformationFollow the Money: The Donors, Politicians and PACs Seeking to Bring Down the “American Empire”. WATCH to find out what’s inside our latest report A network of far-left political action committees (PACs) is working with Islamic groups to… -
The Socialists Want to Hold Congress HostageNot sure what fits? A licensed AMAC advisor will walk you through it, at no cost. If Democrats win the House by a few seats, DSA-backed members want to withhold their votes from Jeffries unless he agrees to defund ICE and end aid to… -
Don’t get fooled againDon’t be fooled by Democrats’ talk on affordability. THEY caused this crisis under Biden when going to war on fossil fuels. They opened the borders and 10 – 15 million illegal immigrants poured in, including over 300,00 unaccompanied… - ‘The world refuses Washington and Netanyahu’s distorted view’This is apropos a letter to the Editor titled “The world refuses Washington and Netanyahu’s distorted view” carried... This is apropos a letter to the Editor titled “The world refuses Washington and Netanyahu’s distorted view” carried by…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions