Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NY-10 House election: Jennifer Moore vote percent
The odds
15.63%median
4%22%
Median 15.63%Middle half 13.95% – 17.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 14.13% on Oct 20, 15.63% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 6% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 8% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 10% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 25.00 | ||
| At least 12% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.3K | |
| At least 14% | 75% | 70¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 281 | |
| At least 16% | 45% | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | ||
| At least 18% | 19% | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | ||
| At least 20% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Jennifer Moore
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Congressional District 10 Election: Brad Lander vs. Jennifer Moorewww.chelseanewsny.com Congressional District 10 Election: Brad Lander vs. Jennifer Moore Democrat Lander the former City Comptroller and a Brooklyn Council Member is being opposed by a born and raised Republican Brooklynite whose campaign… -
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… - New York voters need more genuine general-election choices — or democracy is doomedWe’d love to endorse a general-election opponent against the likes of toxically leftist Darializa Avila Chevalier — but the combination of relentless Democratic gerrymandering and the sad state of New York’s Republican Party leaves no room…
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Dem candidate seized by Israeli forces while harvesting olives with PalestiniansTessa Bury/CC BY 4.0 Democratic congressional nominee Brad Lander was detained by Israeli troops in the West Bank while helping Palestinian farmers harvest olives, an Israeli rights group said. Lander, the former New York City comptroller… -
Israel Detains NYC Congressional Nominee Brad LanderBrad Lander, New York City’s former comptroller and the Democratic nominee for New York's 10th Congressional District, was detained Wednesday by Israeli forces while helping Palestinian farmers harvest olives in the occupied West Bank. He… -
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October… -
New: How the 'Mamdanification' of the Dem Party Could Be Their Undoing in a Crucial NY House RaceWhen Zohran Mamdani became the Democrat mayoral nominee in New York City in the summer of 2025, many political observers wondered whether the second-place finisher, disgraced former NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo, would somehow emerge victorious in… -
Chronic homelessness in Winnipeg greatly overestimated due to faulty data, memo saysData errors connected to a federal system used by End Homelessness Winnipeg have led to a significant overestimation of the number of people experiencing homelessness in the city, an internal organizational memo obtained by CBC News says… -
WAYNE COUNTY BOARD DISCUSSES COURTHOUSE HVAC PROJECT, PROPERTY ASSESSMENTS AND BUDGET REQUESTSDuring the monthly meeting of the Wayne County Board last Thursday night, members approved another $25,000 payment for the courthouse heating and cooling project bringing the total paid to Hayes Plumbing & Heating to approximately…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions