Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NY-09 House election: Yvette Clarke vote percent
The odds
75.71%median
66%86%
Median 75.71%Middle half 73.54% – 77.87%
How the odds have moved
Median: 77.74% on Oct 20, 75.71% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 68% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 70% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 72% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 74% | 71% | 67¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 4.1K | |
| At least 76% | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 600 | |
| At least 78% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 80% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 82% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 84% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Yvette Clarke
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Crown Heights PAC Releases Endorsements in Upcoming ElectionAn important message from the Rabonim of Crown Heights regarding Tuesday's election; the Crown Heights PAC has issued endorsements. Full Story An important message from the Rabonim of Crown Heights: “It is important for our community to… - Report Warns AI Discrimination Law Remains Unsettled Amid RollbacksCRS report finds federal antidiscrimination law offers no clear answers on algorithm-based decisions in hiring, lending and housing. See what it means. Report Warns AI Discrimination Law Remains Unsettled Amid Rollbacks Federal…
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Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… -
MS NOW's Al Sharpton Sets Up Dem Congresswoman to Smear ICE, 'Racist' TrumpOn Sunday, MNSBC’s PoliticsNation with Al Sharpton hosted Democratic Congresswoman Yvette Clarke of New York who criticized the Trump administration over an ICE involved shooting in the Bronx. Clark defined the administration as “racist”… -
Black Caucus Financial Services members back Maxine Waters as panel's top Democrat - Live Updates - POLITICOWaters’ allies are also discussing other letters of support, including potentially one from a broader group of House Financial Services members. Seven members of the Congressional Black Caucus serving on the House Financial Services… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October… -
Black Caucus leader says group backs Maxine Waters for top committee post - Live Updates - POLITICOThe California lawmaker faces a growing challenge for her position as top Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee. The leader of the Congressional Black Caucus said Thursday that the group is âunwavering in its supportâ for… -
New: How the 'Mamdanification' of the Dem Party Could Be Their Undoing in a Crucial NY House RaceWhen Zohran Mamdani became the Democrat mayoral nominee in New York City in the summer of 2025, many political observers wondered whether the second-place finisher, disgraced former NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo, would somehow emerge victorious in… -
Congresswoman Yvette Clarke demands ICE exit New YorkBrooklyn Congresswoman Yvette Clarke, chair of the Congressional Black Caucus, has joined calls for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers to leave New York following a shooting involving an ICE officer in Upper Manhattan. In a… -
Rep. Omar says she will ‘not be silenced’ after Homeland Security searches her homeFederal agents on Monday October 12, 2026 executed a search warrant at the Washington, D.C. area home of Minnesota Congresswoman Ilhan Omar. The Department of Justice said Investigators with Homeland Security Investigations were involved… -
Democrats Say the Search of Ilhan Omar’s Home Is a ‘Disturbing’ Abuse of PowerThe congresswoman said she “will not be silenced.” Rep. Ilhan Omar said the search was an “attempt to target political enemies and weaponize federal law enforcement.” (J. Scott Applewhite/AP) October 12, 2026 12:20 p.m. Rep. Ilhan Omar and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions