Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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NY-08 House election: Hakeem Jeffries vote percent
The odds
76.16%median
68%88%
Median 76.16%Middle half 74.04% – 78.28%
How the odds have moved
Median: 76.25% on Oct 20, 76.16% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 72% | 92% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 74% | 76% | ▲ 1 | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 385 |
| At least 76% | 52% | ▲ 1 | 48¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 2.2K |
| At least 78% | 28% | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | ||
| At least 80% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 82% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 20.00 | ||
| At least 84% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 86% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Hakeem Jeffries
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Cait Conley calls Mike Lawler a ‘Trump puppet’ while dancing to Hakeem Jeffries’ tuneThere’s a contradiction at the heart of Democrat Cait Conley’s campaign to unseat incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in New York’s 17th congressional district. On the one hand, Conley is making the case that Lawler, or, as she calls him… -
Thune brushes off prospect of Hakeem Jeffries taking power as GOP faces midterm testElection forecasters see Democrats taking the House, but Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told Fox News Digital he is confident Republicans will hold the chamber and he won’t have to work with potential Speaker Hakeem Jeffries… - Hakeem Jeffries is poised to make history. His leadership style faces a test.Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The New York Democrat…
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Hakeem Jeffries headlines ‘Take Back the House’ campaign rally in Buena ParkFor the past two years, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries says there’s been a lingering question that’s plagued him ever since President Donald Trump won the White House and the Republican Party took control of both the House and… -
Hakeem Jeffries poised to become first Black House Speaker if Democrats winEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Hakeem Jeffries Is Poised to Make History“If Democrats retake the House in November, Hakeem Jeffries is all but certain to become speaker in January — the first Black American to hold the post,” the Washington Post reports. “Yet the question facing the 56-year-old New York… -
Hakeem Jeffries Nears Historic Chance to Become First Black House SpeakerWASHINGTON — House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries says his party is “on the verge” of winning control of the U.S. House, a result that could put him in position to become the first Black Speaker in American history. The milestone is not… -
‘How Many Tries Do Dems Need?’: Critics Question Hakeem Jeffries’ Backing of Marni von Wilpert to Fix Healthcare and Flip California’s 48thThe clip shows Jeffries and San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert at a San Diego County hospital. Von Wilpert speaks at a podium outdoors and says, “The stakes of this election could not be more serious. To flip the US House of… -
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Hakeem Jeffries-affiliated super PAC says Leela Gray is polling ahead of Anna Paulina LunaA super PAC affiliated with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries says its polling shows Democrat Leela Gray leading Republican U.S. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna. House Majority PAC released top-line polling on 13 battleground races across the… - Hakeem Jeffries on 2026 Midterms, NY-17 and AffordabilityHouse Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries predicts Democrats retake the House in November, citing affordability and New York's tight NY-17 race. Explore Our Cities & Metro Areas (A-Z) Jeffries Predicts Democrats Retake House, Says NY-17 Race…
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Jeffries: Democrats "on the verge of taking back control" of the HouseCNN's Manu Raju hits the campaign trail in California with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who could be just months away from becoming the first Black speaker of the House of Representatives. While confident, Jeffries is also…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions