Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NY-05 House election: Gregory Meeks vote percent
The odds
76.28%median
68%88%
Median 76.28%Middle half 74.13% – 78.37%
How the odds have moved
Median: 75.49% on Oct 19, 76.28% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 72% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 74% | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | ||
| At least 76% | 54% | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | ||
| At least 78% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 80% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 82% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 84% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 86% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Gregory Meeks
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Explainer-Four ways US foreign policy could change if Democrats win in NovemberDemocrats argue that Republicans have allowed President Donald Trump’s administration to declare war and control spending, even though the US Constitution reserves those powers for lawmakers. Here are some ways a Democratic Congress could… -
US Midterms 2026: From Iran War To Israel And Ukraine, Four Ways A Democratic Congress Would Reshape Trump’s Foreign Policy After November 3For two years, US President Donald Trump has prosecuted an unauthorised war in Iran, suspended military aid to Ukraine, deepened a partnership with Benjamin Netanyahu that has driven Israel deeper into international isolation and sought a… -
4 ways US foreign policy could change if Democrats win in NovemberA man holds a 'Vote Blue' sign while sitting in a golf cart during a Democratic rally in The Villages, Florida, US, October 17, 2026. WASHINGTON, USA – Nonpartisan analysts say Democrats stand a good chance of winning the US House of… -
US lawmakers demand answers from Elon Musk over Ukraine Starlink restrictionsU.S. Representative Gregory Meeks and Senator Peter Welch led four other lawmakers on Oct. 23 in demanding that Elon Musk answer questions about Ukrainian Starlink disruptions. Trump said he had not spoken to Musk about the issue but might… -
Everything to know about Election Day 2026 in QueensEarly voting is set to begin in Queens for the 2026 midterm elections on Saturday, Oct. 24, and run through Sunday, Nov. 1. With early voting and the Nov. 3 Election Day around the corner, Queens residents should know which candidates and… -
Elon Musk threatens to go after Democrats' puppeteers after hearing their post-election plan to attack himDemocrats are very open about their plan to sue Musk and his companies. Tech trillionaire Elon Musk issued a warning to Democrats after hearing their plans to investigate him over his time in the Trump administration. Musk was responding… -
Mike Bloomberg starts spending blitz to help Democrats retake the HouseThree prominent Latin American political leaders have endorsed Rep. María Elvira Salazar (R-Florida) in recent weeks, prompting criticism from some Democrats who describe the international support as foreign interference in a U.S… -
Trump confirms U.S. seeking return of retired teacher held in RussiaThere’s a relatively rare severe-weather risk on Wednesday in parts of Arizona and Southern California. The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has outlined a marginal (Level 1 out of 5) risk in an area that includes Phoenix… -
Foreign leaders endorse Miami Republican, sparking interference claimsThere’s a relatively rare severe-weather risk on Wednesday in parts of Arizona and Southern California. The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has outlined a marginal (Level 1 out of 5) risk in an area that includes Phoenix… - Petr Pavel: Trump's deal gave Russia a breakOct 22, 2026 12:44 200 Donald Trump's deal for Russian diesel fuel supplies has given Moscow a chance to catch its breath and has distanced the prospect of a truce. This was stated by Czech President Petr Pavel in an interview in which he…
- Cook moves Mississippi, South Carolina Senate races toward DemocratsThree prominent Latin American political leaders have endorsed Rep. María Elvira Salazar (R-Florida) in recent weeks, prompting criticism from some Democrats who describe the international support as foreign interference in a U.S…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions