Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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NM-03 House election: Teresa Leger vote percent
The odds
59.19%median
50%70%
Median 59.19%Middle half 55.75% – 62.58%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.19% on Oct 24, 59.19% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 54% | 86% | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 56% | 74% | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | ||
| At least 58% | 60% | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | ||
| At least 60% | 44% | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | ||
| At least 62% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 64% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 66% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 68% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NM- House, Teresa Leger
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After a flurry of ethics cases, sexual harassment rules for Congress are under reviewThey "came out of the woodwork" she said, and had stayed silent because it was well established that coming forward would be the end of a career they had worked so hard to achieve. "Those were some of the hardest conversations to have,"… -
Lawmakers Urge Emergency Declaration as Catastrophic Flooding Continues in New MexicoNew Mexico lawmakers are urging President Trump to approve an emergency declaration for catastrophic flooding that has left communities, including tribal nations, underwater. U.S. Senators Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.), Ben Ray Luján (D-N.M.)… - Sexual harassment rules for Congress are under review after a flurry of ethics casesThey "came out of the woodwork" she said, and had stayed silent because it was well established that coming forward would be the end of a career they had worked so hard to achieve. "Those were some of the hardest conversations to have,"…
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Democratic Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez 1-on-1 on potential House majority, ICE arrests and moreKOB 4 Democratic Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez 1-on-1 on potential House majority, ICE arrests and more Candidate 1-on-1: Democratic U.S. Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — Incumbent U.S. Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez joined KOB… -
U.S. citizens wrongfully detained by immigration officers could get $500,000 plus $100,000 for each extra day held, under a bill from New Mexico Democratic Rep. Teresa Leger FernándezU.S. citizens wrongfully arrested or detained by immigration officers could receive at least $500,000 in damages, with an additional $100,000 for every day they remain in custody beyond the first, under legislation introduced by Democratic… -
JD Vance Appears to Take Nasty Swipe at Protester Demanding Release of Epstein Files With 'Racist' RemarkVice President JD Vance was accused of racism. Oct. 20 2026, Published 2:49 p.m. ET Vice President JD Vance appeared to make a jab at a protester who demanded the government take further action on the Epstein files, RadarOnline.com has… -
String of Sexual Misconduct Scandals in the House Hasn’t Fast-tracked Ethics ReformSpeaker Mike Johnson canceled the pre-midterm House session, punting any action on changes to sexual misconduct rules. Speaker Mike Johnson has remained noncommittal on bringing a bipartisan ethics reform package to lawmakers before the… -
Citing ProPublica, Lawmakers Introduce Bill to Help U.S. Citizens Sue ICE for Wrongful DetentionsI cover immigration at ProPublica, with a particular focus on how immigration enforcement changes communities around the country. Send me tips about immigration enforcement tactics, racial profiling, the detention of citizens or how… -
US Citizens Wrongfully Detained by ICE Could Get $500K Under New BillOct 18, 2026 at 07:30 AM EDT Oct 18, 2026 at 10:28 AM EDT U.S. citizens wrongfully arrested or detained by immigration authorities could receive at least $500,000 in damages under a new bill introduced in Congress. Democratic… - Representative Teresa Leger Fernandez introduces H.R. 10826: Justice for Citizens Wrongfully Detained by ICE ActWe have received text from H.R. 10826: Justice for Citizens Wrongfully Detained by ICE Act. This bill was received on 2026-10-15, and currently has 1 cosponsor. This bill would create a way for U.S. citizens to sue immigration officers, or…
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NM House District 40The Taos News Joseph L. Sanchez (I) There was a problem reporting this. All comment authors MUST use their real names. Posts that cannot be ascribed to a real person Click below to support our sponsors Sorry, an error occurred. Account… -
Vote to restore a Democratic majority to CongressIncumbent U.S. Sen. Ben Ray Luján deserves reelection to the Senate. That would be true even if the president weren’t threatening allies and cozying up to dictators, attempting to pillage our public lands and disrespecting our state’s…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions