Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NJ-11 House election: Joe Hathaway vote percent
The odds
39.05%median
32%52%
Median 39.05%Middle half 36.29% – 41.82%
How the odds have moved
Median: 39.05% on Oct 24, 39.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 36% | 78% | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | ||
| At least 38% | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | ||
| At least 40% | 41% | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | ||
| At least 42% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 44% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 46% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 48% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 50% | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NJ- House, Joe Hathaway
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New Jersey State PBA Endorses Joe Hathaway for Congress in NJ-11Hathaway Earns Support of New Jersey's Largest Law Enforcement Union as Mejia's Anti-Police Record Comes Under Scrutiny RANDOLPH, NJ - Joe Hathaway, Republican nominee for Congress in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District, has received… -
New Jersey State Policemen's Benevolent Association Endorses Joe Hathaway for CongressRANDOLPH — Joe Hathaway, Republican nominee for Congress in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District, has received the endorsement of the New Jersey State Policemen’s Benevolent Association (PBA), one of the state’s most prominent law… -
At Morris County early voting site, partisan divisions run deep as voters head to pollsRepublicans see a country moving in the right direction. Democrats think it’s headed the wrong way. At an early voting center in western Morris County on Saturday, there was little middle ground. At the Mount Olive municipal building… -
State PBA endorses Kean for re-electionPolice union also supports Van Drew, Smith, Gottheimer and Pallone, but stays neutral in U.S. Senate race By David Wildstein, October 20 2026 3:51 pm The New Jersey State Policemen’s Benevolent Association has endorsed Rep. Tom Kean, Jr… - Hathaway Endorses Jefferson Township Republican SlateJEFFERSON TOWNSHIP — Joe Hathaway, the Republican nominee for Congress in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District and former Mayor of Randolph, has endorsed Jefferson Township Mayor Eric Wilsusen and fellow Republicans Melissa Senatore…
- Two Democrats, one vote: Joe Hathaway for CongressWe don’t agree on everything. We agree on this: on November 3, the voters of the 11th District should elect Joe Hathaway. In April, many of our neighbors gave Analilia Mejia the benefit of the doubt. Campaign rhetoric is campaign rhetoric…
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What midterms could mean for Realtors and the housing marketHousing affordability remains a central issue in the lead-up to November’s midterm elections — with congressional and gubernatorial candidates proposing changes to homebuyer assistance, mortgage financing, property taxes, zoning and… -
Candidate Debate In NJ-11: Mejia, Hathaway Battle For Sherrill’s Old Congress SeatA debate between Analilia Mejia and Joe Hathaway will take place in New Jersey’s 11th congressional district ahead of the 2026 general election. Mejia, the Democratic incumbent, and Hathaway, the Republican challenger, will have a rematch… -
Housing a key issue for NJ congressional candidates campaigning on affordabilityWho is running in this November’s midterm elections? The concern is bipartisan, though they diverge on how to rein in runaway housing costs. “Obviously, we want to bring down the cost of groceries and gas and things like that. But housing…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions