Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NJ-02 House election: Jeff Van Drew vote percent
The odds
51.63%median
44%64%
Median 51.63%Middle half 49.63% – 54.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.76% on Oct 19, 51.63% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 96% | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 48% | 88% | 84¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| At least 50% | 72% | ▼ 1 | 68¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | |
| At least 52% | 45% | ▼ 2 | 44¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 17.00 |
| At least 54% | 29% | 25¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 53.00 | |
| At least 56% | 13% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 38.00 |
| At least 58% | 4% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jeff Van Drew, NJ- House
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Donald Norcross compared Jeff Van Drew to Hitler at a Gloucester County rally and later apologizedU.S. Rep. Donald Norcross got on his knees to mock U.S. Rep. Jeff Van Drew and compared the Republican to Adolf Hitler at a Gloucester County Democratic Committee rally with Sen. Cory Booker. U.S. Rep. Donald Norcross (D., N.J.) compared… -
‘Daddy Trump,’ data centers and the Iran war: Here are the highlights from Jeff Van Drew’s debate with Zack MullockU.S. Rep. Jeff Van Drew, a South Jersey Republican, debated Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock, his Democratic challenger, at Stockton University Thursday night. It was tense. U.S. Rep. Jeff Van Drew and Democratic challenger Zack Mullock fought… -
WATCH: 2nd Congressional District debate between Jeff Van Drew, Zack MullockThe William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy at Stockton University will host a 2nd Congressional District debate between Republican incumbe… Election Day is Nov. 3. Do you know who's running for school board in your town? We've got you… -
Jeff Van Drew, House GOP leaders subpoena Mikie Sherrill’s administration over N.J. noncitizen voter recordsSouth Jersey Republican Rep. Jeff Van Drew Wednesday announced a congressional subpoena of New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill’s administration, demanding it produce records he requested three months ago that may explain how 6,600 noncitizens… -
Beating Jeff Van Drew Is Personal. Can Democrats Finally Do It?Van Drew might well prevail despite all this. But Democrats are hungry to hand him a loss. “He has certainly earned the everlasting animosity of Democrats in the district,” Rasmussen said. “There’s a tremendous sense of betrayal.”… -
Rep Jeff Van Drew calls out Obama’s defense of Ilhan OmarFox News Rep Jeff Van Drew calls out Obama’s defense of Ilhan Omar Rep. Jeff Van Drew, R-N.J., discusses the federal immigration and financial investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., and former President Barack Obama’s defense of the… -
House Republicans subpoena New Jersey for noncitizen voter recordsMikie Sherrill’s administration has only produced 12 documents in three months, the subpoena alleges. House Judiciary Chair Jim Jordan and three of his fellow Republicans have issued a subpoena for records on how thousands of noncitizens… -
Van Drew and Mullock exchange ideas and jabs at 2nd District debateU.S. Rep. Van Drew is seeking his fifth term in the seat as he faces off against Zack Mullock in the 2026 midterm elections. Republican U.S. Rep. Jeff Van Drew (right) debates Democratic challenger Zack Mullock at the Campus Center Theater… -
Van Drew, Mullock verbally pummel each other in congressional debateGALLOWAY TOWNSHIP — Democrat Zack Mullock came out swinging in a debate with incumbent Republican U.S. Rep. Jeff Van Drew, accusing him of childlike worship of President Donald Trump and policies that are hurting people in South Jersey… -
Super PAC putting $1.5 million on broadcast TV to take out Van DrewGroup gambles that a late but big media buy can push Democrat Zach Mullock over the finish line By David Wildstein, October 22 2026 11:20 am A national Democratic-aligned super PAC, Project 18, is spending $1.5 million to unseat Rep. Jeff… -
LIVE STREAM: The CD-2 Debate Between Van Drew and MullockThe time has come for the debate between U.S. Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R-2) and his Democratic challenger, Zack Mullock. The time has come for the debate between U.S. Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R-2) and his Democratic challenger, Zack Mullock, in one… -
Colleen O'Dea's VBM and Early Voting Interactive MapDemocrats would seem to have amassed a large advantage as early voting starts across New Jersey on Saturday, but the numbers may not portend the ultimate results once all votes are counted. An analysis of mail-in ballots received by…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions