Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MT-02 House election: Troy Downing vote percent
The odds
57.74%median
52%72%
Median 57.74%Middle half 55% – 60.33%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.91% on Oct 20, 57.74% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 83% | ▼ 2 | 79¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 805 |
| At least 56% | 67% | ▼ 2 | 63¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 605 |
| At least 58% | 48% | ▼ 3 | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 400 |
| At least 60% | 28% | ▼ 5 | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 3.0K |
| At least 62% | 13% | ▼ 7 | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| At least 64% | 5% | ▼ 8 | 9¢ | $11.11 | 405 | |
| At least 66% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 68% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MT- House, Troy Downing
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RAW: MT: HOUSE SPEAKER JOHNSON IN MT/RURAL HEALTHCARELocal 3 News House Speaker Mike Johnson brings national spotlight to Montana GOP races Live cockroaches, spoiled food and glove-changing lead this week's violations Woman killed after being struck by vehicle in Chattanooga; police… -
Democrat Sam Forstag outraises Republican Aaron Flint in western US House districtAs the 2026 election cycle nears its close, campaign spending continues to heat up in Montana’s competitive races. Campaign finance filings through Oct. 14 show Democrat Sam Forstag with a lead in both total fundraising and cash on hand… -
Montana will have low congressional seniority in 2027HELENA — We still don’t know who Montana voters will be sending to represent them in Congress this election, but one thing we do know is that at least two of them will be newcomers. That means, in 2027, Montana will be low on the list when… -
Trump Rally in Kalispell, Montana: Voices from the lineThe rally was one of several late campaign stops ahead of the 2026 midterm election, held in a county where about 65% of voters backed Trump in 2024. Republican Aaron Flint, who is facing Democrat Sam Forstag in a western Montana… -
Trump stumps for Montana delegation: President talks wildlife gaining weight, handsome guys, ‘Dumbocrat’ competition and 'rigged' electionsPresident Donald Trump made an appearance in Kalispell last Wednesday to stump for candidates running as Republican for the Montana congressional seats on the mid-term ballot. KALISPELL — “USA, USA, USA!” President Donald Trump’s Kalispell… -
Press ReleasesCourtesy Call on State Minister for Foreign Affairs HORII, by Two Members of the U.S. House of Representatives Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan On October 19, commencing at 3:00 p.m. for approximately 30 minutes, Mr. HORII Iwao, State… - President Trump announces plans for 'super range' military testing site in MontanaProposed legislation includes $10M for feasibility study Montana's incumbent federal delegation and candidates - U.S. Sens. Tim Sheehy and Steve Daines, candidates Kurt Alme and Aaron Flint, and U.S. Reps. Troy Downing and Ryan Zinke…
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Montana chose cannabis regulation. Congress should learn from us | Jamie PearsonThis is not happening in isolation. Massachusetts voters will soon decide whether to repeal the adult-use cannabis market they approved a decade ago. Similar repeal efforts surfaced this year in Maine and Arizona. A well-funded minority of… -
Libertarian US Senate candidate Kyle Austin pitches himself as an alternative for votersKyle Austin is pictured on Monday, Sept. 21, 2026. (Jordan Hansen / Daily Montanan) by Jordan Hansen, Daily Montanan October 19, 2026 Kyle Austin, the Libertarian candidate for the open U.S. Senate seat in Montana, calls himself “the… - Press Release: Troy Downing Bill Signed Into Law to Update Crow Tribe Water Rights SettlementBill signed into law: A congressional office said President Trump signed the Crow Tribe Water Rights Settlement Amendments Act of 2025, with Sen. Steve Daines and Rep. Troy Downing backing the measure in Congress. What the law changes: The…
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Trevor Funseth and Lela Graham compete for MT House District 21GREAT FALLS — We’re continuing our profiles of local legislative races. When Ed Buttrey lost in the Republican Primary in June for Montana House District 21, it opened the door for new representation in the district. An attorney making his… -
SHARE: Photos from the Montana Youth Deer-Only HuntNonStop Local Billings HELENA, Mont. - The Youth Deer-Only Hunt is on for youth 10-15 years old in Montana! Get the latest headlines on local sports! From UM, MSU, High School sports and more. Billings residents express frustrations online…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions