Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent
The odds
37.94%median
30%48%
Median 37.94%Middle half 34.54% – 41.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 37.94% on Oct 24, 37.94% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 89% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | |
| At least 34% | 79% | ▲ 1 | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | |
| At least 36% | 66% | ▲ 1 | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | |
| At least 38% | 50% | ▲ 1 | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | |
| At least 40% | 34% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | |
| At least 42% | 21% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | |
| At least 44% | 12% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 30.00 |
| At least 46% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MS- House, Michael Chiaradio
Search ›-
Mississippi incumbents hold sizeable cash advantage as General Election nearsThird quarter campaign finance reports were due last week ahead of the November 3 midterm General Election, which is now two weeks away. U.S. Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith continues to far outpace her challengers, and the rest of the… -
RMA Talk for Oct 21: Karen Elliott House: “The Man Who Would Be King: Mohammed Bin Salman and the Transformation of Saudi Arabia”The Greenwich RMA talk on Wednesday Oct 21 will be Karen Elliott House, the author of a new book, The Man Who Would be King, on Saudi Arabia and its ambitious Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. The talk starts at 11:00 am at Christ Church…
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45.5%median
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Median 45.5%Middle half 42.42% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions