Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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MS-02 House election: Bennie Thompson vote percent
The odds
65.32%median
54%74%
Median 65.32%Middle half 62.44% – 68.15%
How the odds have moved
Median: 63.79% on Oct 21, 65.32% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 58% | 96% | ▲ 2 | 92¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 60% | 90% | ▲ 1 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 62% | 79% | ▲ 1 | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 200 |
| At least 64% | 63% | ▲ 1 | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | |
| At least 66% | 44% | ▲ 1 | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | |
| At least 68% | 26% | 22¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 2.7K | |
| At least 70% | 13% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| At least 72% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MS- House, Bennie Thompson
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Capitol agenda: Bennie Thompson warns about Dems’ late bet - Live Updates - POLITICOThompson argued party leaders need to move much faster in the future to invest early in strong candidates who can mobilize the large populations of Black voters in Southern states that others deem unwinnable. National Democrats finally… -
Thompson discusses violence prevention, health care during Glendora visitThe visit included a community prayer vigil and Stop the Violence ceremony, which began with a list of names of people impacted by violence. Everett Penn, board chair of E.T.H.I.C., said the event gave people an opportunity to reflect on… -
Leflore County supervisor Sam Abraham dies at 75According to the Greenwood Commonwealth, Abraham died Friday night at a hospital in Cleveland, Ohio, while undergoing a liver transplant. Abraham served as District 1 supervisor for more than a decade. Before that, he held several… -
Dems plan to target DHS head to 'worsen the political pains' at the White House: reportExpecting to take control of at least one of the chambers of Congress, the Democratic leadership plans to target Department of Homeland Security head Markwayne Mullin to create havoc for the White House, according to new reporting. A House… - Dem infighting erupts over which candidates to fund in midterms homestretchDemocrats have more midterm targets than they can afford to tackle — and they are sparring over where to spend the limited cash they have. Black lawmakers are calling for more money to flow to Florida for Nixon and to Mississippi for Scott…
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Leflore County Democrats Stress Urgency to Voters at 23rd Beans and Greens DinnerGREENWOOD, Miss.—Robert Sims is a proud Bennie Thompson supporter. But Sims values his right to choose a candidate even more. This year, there was obvious excitement in the air. Sims, who helps organize the dinners, said around 300 tickets… -
NATCA Members Give Members of Congress Tours of Detroit ATCT and Detroit TRACONU.S. Representatives Shri Thanedar (Mich.-13), Lou Correa (Calif.-46), and Bennie Thompson (Miss.-2) recently toured Detroit ATCT (DET) and Detroit TRACON (D21) with NATCA members Ken Bazman (D21) and Matt Reavis (D21) in July 2026. The… -
Senate Republicans’ Top PAC Dropping $1 Million Into Deep-Red MississippiSenate Republicans’ top campaign arm planned to spend $1 million in deep-red Mississippi Thursday after the Senate race became unusually competitive, a source familiar confirmed to the Daily Caller News Foundation. NEW — Senate Leadership… -
Mississippi incumbents hold sizeable cash advantage as General Election nearsRepublican U.S. Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith’s re-election campaign has outraised all other federal candidates in Mississippi this election cycle, bringing in over $6 million. Her Democrat challenger Scott Colom is closing in on $4 million… -
Chuck Schumer PAC spends $1.2 million for Scott Colom as pundits say Hyde-Smith lead is waningBy Michael Goldberg | Originally published by Mississippi Today A top Democratic super PAC focused on U.S. Senate races announced Tuesday that it will spend $1.2 million on an ad campaign in Mississippi for Scott Colom. The ad, paid for by… -
DHS Agents Hunt Noncitizen Voters as Democrats Sue Over Election CrackdownHomeland Security agents have been going door to door in several states asking residents about their immigration status and whether they have registered or voted, a CBS News investigation found. The visits are part of the Trump… -
Congressman Thompson Joins Mississippi Delegation in Celebrating Vicksburg National Military Park Bill SigningCongressman Bennie Thompson (.gov) Congressman Thompson Joins Mississippi Delegation in Celebrating Vicksburg National Military Park Bill Signing Washington, D.C. – Today, Congressman Bennie G. Thompson (MS-02) joined members of the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions