Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent
The odds
63.61%median
48%76%
Median 63.61%Middle half 60.17% – 66.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 63.46% on Oct 20, 63.61% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 98% | ▲ 1 | 95¢ | $1.03 | 1.6K | |
| At least 52% | 98% | ▲ 1 | 95¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 54% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | 732 | |
| At least 56% | 95% | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 644 | |
| At least 58% | 90% | 87¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 7.8K | |
| At least 60% | 76% | 72¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 205 | |
| At least 62% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 100 | |
| At least 64% | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | ||
| At least 66% | 30% | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | ||
| At least 68% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 70% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 72% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 74% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MO- House, Mark Alford
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Boone County ballots a mix of contested, unopposed races Nov. 3On Nov. 3, Missouri residents will return to the polls and make decisions about representation at the federal, state and local levels. In the state and Columbia's region there are contested races for State Auditor and U.S. House Districts… -
Williamson County Republican Party partners with Taylor and Hatcher campaigns to host House Majority Whip Tom Emmer for Get Out the Vote rallyRhett Bryan, executive producer of Titans Radio, brought the message of preparation, teamwork and relationships to Williamson Inc.’s Women in Business quarterly luncheon on Tuesday, Oct. 20, at Brentwood United Methodist Church. SPRING… -
ABC Applauds Call to Expand Renewable Fuel Standard Eligibility for Marine FuelsWASHINGTON – October 19, 2026 – The American Biogas Council (ABC) applauds Congresswoman Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-Iowa) and six other U.S. Representatives for their letter urging the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to expand… -
Rep. Mark Alford defends 4th Congressional District seatSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Mark Alford, Jordan Herrera and Thomas Holbrook Republican incumbent Mark Alford is facing two challengers in the 4th Congressional District, which contains portions of Columbia… -
Lawmakers urge EPA to clarify, broaden RFS eligibility for marine fuelsRep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, R-Iowa, and six of her colleagues on Oct. 15 sent a letter to U.S. EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin urging the agency to expand Renewable Fuel Standard eligibility for qualified fuel used in marine… -
Press ReleasesCourtesy Call on State Minister for Foreign Affairs HORII, by Two Members of the U.S. House of Representatives Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan On October 19, commencing at 3:00 p.m. for approximately 30 minutes, Mr. HORII Iwao, State… -
Fourth Congressional District candidates make final push, outline prioritiesPublished 9:09 pm Friday, October 16, 2026 With Election Day approaching, candidates in Missouri’s Fourth Congressional District race are making their final appeals to voters, offering differing visions for rural health care, agriculture… -
Sullivan County Hospital Leaders Attend Washington Advocacy EventMILAN, Mo. – Representatives of Sullivan County Memorial Hospital joined more than 40 rural hospital leaders from across Missouri for a two-day advocacy event Sept. 29-30 in Washington, D.C. Martha Gragg, CEO of Sullivan County Memorial… -
Reps. Smith, Budzinski Lead Letter Urging Support For America’s Biofuel IndustryReps. Smith, Budzinski Lead Letter Urging Support For America?s Biofuel Industry Renewable Energy Magazine In the letter, the lawmakers ask the administration to uphold its commitment to American grown energy by proposing a supplemental…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions