Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent
The odds
33.57%median
24%52%
Median 33.57%Middle half 31% – 36.78%
How the odds have moved
Median: 34.21% on Oct 20, 33.57% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 26% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 28% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 30% | 84% | ▲ 1 | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 69.00 |
| At least 32% | 67% | ▲ 1 | 62¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 74.00 |
| At least 34% | 46% | ▲ 1 | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 200 |
| At least 36% | 30% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | |
| At least 38% | 18% | ▲ 4 | 16¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 6.4K |
| At least 40% | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 500 |
| At least 42% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 44% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 46% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 48% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 50% | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MO- House, Jordan Herrera
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Boone County ballots a mix of contested, unopposed races Nov. 3On Nov. 3, Missouri residents will return to the polls and make decisions about representation at the federal, state and local levels. In the state and Columbia's region there are contested races for State Auditor and U.S. House Districts… -
Rep. Mark Alford defends 4th Congressional District seatSunny. Highs near 70.. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Mark Alford, Jordan Herrera and Thomas Holbrook Republican incumbent Mark Alford is facing two challengers in the 4th Congressional District, which contains portions of Columbia… -
Fourth Congressional District candidates make final push, outline prioritiesPublished 9:09 pm Friday, October 16, 2026 With Election Day approaching, candidates in Missouri’s Fourth Congressional District race are making their final appeals to voters, offering differing visions for rural health care, agriculture… -
GOP, Dems to host candidate forumsThe first is a town hall-style discussion organized by local … Two events for voters to visit directly with local candidates will be held in advance of the midterm elections on November 3. The first is a town hall-style discussion…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions