Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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MN-08 House election: Trina Swanson vote percent
The odds
46.11%median
36%54%
Median 46.11%Middle half 43.31% – 48.82%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.93% on Oct 20, 46.11% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 40% | 94% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 384 |
| At least 42% | 85% | ▲ 1 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 6.5K |
| At least 44% | 70% | ▲ 3 | 65¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | |
| At least 46% | 51% | ▲ 3 | 46¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | |
| At least 48% | 32% | ▲ 3 | 27¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | |
| At least 50% | 15% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| At least 52% | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Trina Swanson
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Reader's View: Trina Swanson deserved the endorsementTrina Swanson, is a very competent and capable candidate who deserved the wholehearted endorsement. Reader's View: Trina Swanson deserved the endorsement Trina Swanson, is a very competent and capable candidate who deserved the… -
Minnesota’s 8th District race: Stauber and Swanson on mining, affordability and health careDULUTH, Minn. (Northern News Now) - With just 12 days until the November 3rd midterm election and record early voting already underway, the race for Minnesota’s Congressional District 8 is heating up. Republican incumbent Rep. Pete Stauber… -
Open letter to Representative StauberRepresentative Stauber, your October 6 debate with Trina Swanson demands a response. I was surprised to hear that all our problems are Biden’s and Obama’s fault. How foolish of us to think that two years of Republican control of the House… - Paid letter to the editor: Open letter to Representative StauberRepresentative Stauber, your October 6 debate with Trina Swanson, demands a response. I was surprised to hear that all our problems are Biden’s and Obama’s fault. How foolish of us to think that two years of Republican control of the…
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Candidate's View: It's time for real representation for 8th Congressional DistrictOver the last 11 months, I have visited the 21 counties across our 8th Congressional District, holding more than 185 events to listen to voters across the political spectrum. I have heard their frustrations, fears, and hopes for the… -
Ilhan Omar's Cover Story May Be Blown: Investigators Find Something Is Strangely 'Missing'When it comes to American politics, the most important things are often what is missing. And in the case of Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN), House Oversight Chairman James Comer is pointing to an extraordinary mystery involving a winery, millions… -
Endorsement: For the 8th, the congressman we expectedThat was the congressman voters from the Canadian border to the northern suburbs of the Twin Cities elected — and a congressman who deserves endorsement. Eight years later, though, it’s hardly the congressman any of us got. The elected… -
Minnesota House 30B: Chad WestbergTown of residence: Elk River Occupation: Small Business Owner Family: Wife: Sarah. Children: Owen, Siri, Leif Campaign social media: Facebook: Chad Westberg for MN House 1. What experience, skills or perspective do you believe best… -
Senate District 30: Eric LuceroAge: No response given City of residence: St. Michael Previous elected offices held: MN Senate, MN House, City Council Previous civic and community involvement: No response given Campaign social media: X = @EricLucero & Facebook =… -
Letter to the editor: Support for SwansonMessageMedia.co Support for SwansonLast spring, I was contacted to attend a coffee at Cedarwood to meet Trina Swanson I had no idea who she was.About 15 of us talked to her over coffee I was amazed at her calm, polite manner and her… -
Meet Trina Swanson, candidate for U.S. House in Minnesota's 8th District | WCCO Election GuideOctober 13, 2026 / 3:30 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota Trina Swanson, the DFL nominee in Minnesota's 8th Congressional District, is a former U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services official. The district covers Duluth and the Iron Range. Watch… - Meet Trina Swanson, candidate for U.S. House District 8 | WCCO 2026 Midterm Election GuideCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Meet Trina…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions