Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MN-08 House election: Pete Stauber vote percent
The odds
53.23%median
46%64%
Median 53.23%Middle half 50.47% – 55.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.6% on Oct 19, 53.23% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 91% | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 50% | 79% | 74¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | ||
| At least 52% | 62% | 57¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | ||
| At least 54% | 43% | ▲ 1 | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 15.00 |
| At least 56% | 25% | ▲ 1 | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | |
| At least 58% | 12% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| At least 60% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Pete Stauber
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Local View: Blatnik, Mesabi Trail just the latest long-term projectsThe long-awaited completion of the Mesabi Trail, spanning some 165 miles through and beyond the Iron Range, occurred in September, just as work on another, less-extensive, but nonetheless expensive, project commenced in Duluth. The… - Mechanical Contractors Association Lobbies On Geothermal ActLegis1 Mechanical Contractors Association Lobbies On Geothermal Act The Mechanical Contractors Association of America is lobbying on H.R. 5631, the Geothermal Ombudsman for National Deployment and Optimal Reviews Act, which passed the…
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Minnesota’s 8th District race: Stauber and Swanson on mining, affordability and health careDULUTH, Minn. (Northern News Now) - With just 12 days until the November 3rd midterm election and record early voting already underway, the race for Minnesota’s Congressional District 8 is heating up. Republican incumbent Rep. Pete Stauber… -
Reader's View: Trina Swanson deserved the endorsementTrina Swanson, is a very competent and capable candidate who deserved the wholehearted endorsement. Reader's View: Trina Swanson deserved the endorsement Trina Swanson, is a very competent and capable candidate who deserved the… -
The Senate permitting bill would lock in data centers and nuclear waste on public landsSenator Martin Heinrich, who’s co-sponsoring the bill, once said every person “deserves a chance to provide input” on public land management. His bill, as written, gives Burgum and Trump a green light to cut them out. Read more in the… -
Minnesota Defends the Boundary WatersOffice of Governor Tim Walz Governor Tim Walz’s order is a welcome development, but does not offer long-term protection. On August 18, in response to federal maneuvers that threatened one of North America’s most cherished landscapes… -
Candidate's View: It's time for real representation for 8th Congressional DistrictOver the last 11 months, I have visited the 21 counties across our 8th Congressional District, holding more than 185 events to listen to voters across the political spectrum. I have heard their frustrations, fears, and hopes for the… -
Minnesota Man Runs Marathon While Carrying A Canoe For The Boundary WatersTravis Meier hopes to run 52 marathons in 52 weeks to raise awareness for the BWCA What would you portage a marathon for? A Minnesota man recently ran the entire Twin Cities Marathon while carrying a canoe to raise awareness for the… -
Ilhan Omar's Cover Story May Be Blown: Investigators Find Something Is Strangely 'Missing'When it comes to American politics, the most important things are often what is missing. And in the case of Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN), House Oversight Chairman James Comer is pointing to an extraordinary mystery involving a winery, millions… -
Minnesota House 30B: Chad WestbergTown of residence: Elk River Occupation: Small Business Owner Family: Wife: Sarah. Children: Owen, Siri, Leif Campaign social media: Facebook: Chad Westberg for MN House 1. What experience, skills or perspective do you believe best… -
Senate District 30: Eric LuceroAge: No response given City of residence: St. Michael Previous elected offices held: MN Senate, MN House, City Council Previous civic and community involvement: No response given Campaign social media: X = @EricLucero & Facebook =… -
MN Congressmen Tour SE MN(Rochester, MN) – Congressmen Brad Finstad and Pete Stauber are touring southeast Minnesota to discuss and tour... (Rochester, MN) – Congressmen Brad Finstad and Pete Stauber are touring southeast Minnesota to discuss and tour local…
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13.88%median
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Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions