Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MN-07 House election: Michelle Fischbach vote percent
The odds
65.06%median
56%74%
Median 65.06%Middle half 61.78% – 68.64%
How the odds have moved
Median: 65% on Oct 24, 65.06% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 58% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 60% | 87% | ▼ 1 | 85¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 4.0K |
| At least 62% | 74% | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | ||
| At least 64% | 59% | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | ||
| At least 66% | 43% | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | ||
| At least 68% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 70% | 18% | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | ||
| At least 72% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Michelle Fischbach
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Rep. Michelle Fischbach talks trade, fuel prices, immigration in bid for reelectionMOORHEAD — Rep. Michelle Fischbach, fighting to keep her seat in the U.S. House, seeks to bring a rural voice to Washington. Fischbach, a Republican who represents Minnesota's 7th Congressional District, spoke about her accomplishments and… -
Free Air Time: 7th Congressional District candidate Michelle Fischbach5 EYEWITNESS NEWS Free Air Time: 7th Congressional District candidate Michelle Fischbach This election season, 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS is giving candidates in Minnesota’s biggest races a chance to speak directly to you to help you make an… -
MCCL Sells Out on Life, Supports Pro-Abortion Michele Tafoya Posted by Action 4 Liberty 5sc on October 22, 2026 · Add your reactionAs seen in previous A4L reporting, Michele Tafoya beat around the bush on the topic of abortion during the party endorsement process and primary election but released a pro-abortion commercial now that she is the GOP nominee, insulting… -
ABC Applauds Call to Expand Renewable Fuel Standard Eligibility for Marine FuelsWASHINGTON – October 19, 2026 – The American Biogas Council (ABC) applauds Congresswoman Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-Iowa) and six other U.S. Representatives for their letter urging the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to expand… -
Health care, public spending take center stage at Royalton candidate forumFour candidates spoke at an Oct. 19 candidate forum in Royalton. From top are Tara Killen, Erik Osberg, Isaac Schultz, and Jeff Larson. For one woman attending Royalton’s candidate forum Oct. 19, the question about health care came from… -
Meet Michelle Fischbach, candidate for U.S. House District 7 | WCCO 2026 Midterm Election GuideCBS News Meet Michelle Fischbach, candidate for U.S. House District 7 | WCCO 2026 Midterm Election Guide Meet Tali, a 2½-month-old husky mix and the last of her litter, soon to be up for adoption Peak fall color is here in Minnesota, but… -
Lawmakers urge EPA to clarify, broaden RFS eligibility for marine fuelsRep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, R-Iowa, and six of her colleagues on Oct. 15 sent a letter to U.S. EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin urging the agency to expand Renewable Fuel Standard eligibility for qualified fuel used in marine… -
Osberg holds fish fry/town hall in MarshallMARSHALL -- The Democratic candidate in Minnesota's Seventh Congressional District was on the campaign trail in Marshall over the weekend. On Saturday, Erik Osberg held a combination fish fry and town hall meeting at the Marshall Adult… -
WCCO digital headlines: Oct. 18, 2026CBS News WCCO digital headlines: Oct. 18, 2026 Minneapolis No Kings protest rallies people to vote in midterms GOP candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota Michele Tafoya champions herself as independent voice Here's when the wind will die… -
Vikings Radio fan gets surprise visit from Paul AllenCBS News Vikings Radio fan gets surprise visit from Paul Allen Minneapolis No Kings protest rallies people to vote in midterms GOP candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota Michele Tafoya champions herself as independent voice Here's when the… -
Minnesota Oncology partners with virtual clinic for breast cancer risk assessmentCBS News Minnesota Oncology partners with virtual clinic for breast cancer risk assessment Minneapolis No Kings protest rallies people to vote in midterms GOP candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota Michele Tafoya champions herself as… -
GOP candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota Michele Tafoya champions herself as independent voiceCBS News GOP candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota Michele Tafoya champions herself as independent voice Here's when the wind will die down in Minnesota | Oct. 18, 2026 We warm on Sunday, with highs in the mid 60s | Next Weather 6 p.m…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions