Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent
The odds
78.46%median
68%88%
Median 78.46%Middle half 76.43% – 80.37%
How the odds have moved
Median: 77.27% on Oct 20, 78.46% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 96% | ▲ 1 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 1.1K |
| At least 72% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 103 |
| At least 74% | 92% | ▲ 2 | 89¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 367 |
| At least 76% | 80% | ▲ 5 | 76¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 533 |
| At least 78% | 56% | ▲ 6 | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 350 |
| At least 80% | 28% | ▲ 4 | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 7.00 |
| At least 82% | 10% | ▲ 3 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 3.1K |
| At least 84% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 86% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 600 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Ilhan Omar
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Ilhan Omar called out for bizarre interview answer on marriage controversy'Fox News Sunday' host Shannon Bream and the 'Ruthless Podcast' panel weigh in on Ilhan Omar's comments about her marriage controversy and midterm elections, specifically the Michigan senate race. Ilhan Omar called out for bizarre… -
Trump Claims Ilhan Omar’s Seat ‘Conceded’ By DemocratsOct 25, 2026 at 01:04 PM EDT U.S. President Donald Trump declared Representative Ilhan Omar’s seat “conceded” by Democrats over federal court filings referring to her as Ilhan Nur Said Elmi, a name Omar has denied is hers. Prosecutors… -
Ilhan Omar dodges questions linked to immigration probeFox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on the federal investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar's path to U.S. citizenship and campaign finances. Ilhan Omar dodges questions linked to immigration probe Fox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on the… -
3 clues Ilhan Omar had sham marriage to brotherRepresentative Ilhan Omar has continued to deny allegations she fraudulently married her alleged brother Ahmed Elmi (el-mee) – but when asked if they were related this week, she cautiously replied: “not to my knowledge.” The Minnesota… -
Rep Ilhan Omar ducks questions tied to federal immigration probeRep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., faces a DOJ probe into her citizenship and immigration status. Criminal defense attorney Ken Belkin joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to analyze the allegations and potential legal implications. Rep Ilhan Omar ducks… -
Kevin McCarthy warns Rep Ilhan Omar can 'lose her citizenship' amid federal probeFox News Kevin McCarthy warns Rep Ilhan Omar can 'lose her citizenship' amid federal probe Former Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss the increased scrutiny facing Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., after a… -
This is not a laughing matter for Ilhan Omar, law professor saysLaw professor John Yoo discusses the legal probe into Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., on ‘The Will Cain Show.’ ... This is not a laughing matter for Ilhan Omar, law professor says Law professor John Yoo discusses the legal probe into Rep. Ilhan… -
GREGG JARRETT: Ilhan Omar could face indictment, denaturalization and deportationFox News legal analyst Gregg Jarrett breaks down the legal woes Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., could be facing on ‘Hannity.’ Lies, particularly spectacular ones, inevitably crumble over time when subject to scrutiny. A case in point is Rep… -
Explosive new details in Ilhan Omar investigationU.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro says Ilhan Omar is not the real name of the Minnesota lawmaker. Omar's office denies the allegation amid a federal investigation. Explosive new details in Ilhan Omar investigation U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro… -
Trump calls for Ilhan Omar's RESIGNATION'Lock her up!' chants erupt from the crowd at President Donald Trump's Iowa rally as he calls on Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar to resign from Congress. Trump calls for Ilhan Omar's RESIGNATION 'Lock her up!' chants erupt from the crowd at… -
Trump GOES AFTER Ilhan Omar at rallyPresident Donald Trump mocks Rep. Ilhan Omar's "not to my knowledge" response when asked whether she was related to her former husband, bringing up the viral exchange during his campaign rally in Iowa ... Trump GOES AFTER Ilhan Omar at… -
Ilhan Omar makes first public appearance following federal raid'Outnumbered' panel discuss Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., making her first public appearance since a federal raid on her Washington, D.C., home as part of an immigration investigation. Ilhan Omar makes first public appearance following federal…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions