Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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MI-11 House election: Jeremy Moss vote percent
The odds
61.58%median
52%72%
Median 61.58%Middle half 58.29% – 65.08%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.5% on Oct 20, 61.58% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 94% | ▼ 1 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 56% | 87% | ▼ 1 | 82¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | |
| At least 58% | 77% | ▼ 1 | 72¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | |
| At least 60% | 63% | ▼ 1 | 58¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | |
| At least 62% | 47% | ▼ 1 | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 4.4K |
| At least 64% | 32% | ▼ 1 | 27¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | |
| At least 66% | 19% | ▼ 1 | 14¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | |
| At least 68% | 10% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | |
| At least 70% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, Jeremy Moss
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Jeremy Moss Wants Democrats to Fight Harder Against TrumpBy John Riley on October 19, 2026 @JRileyMW “One of my first loves was the political arena,” says Jeremy Moss, the openly gay president pro tempore of the Michigan Senate and Democratic nominee for Congress in Michigan’s 11th District. “I… -
LCV Action Fund Announces Latest Endorsements for U.S. House of RepresentativesAction Fund, which works to elect candidates who will fight to lower energy costs, build a clean energy economy, and strengthen our democracy for all, announced endorsements for six candidates running ... LCV Action Fund Announces Latest… -
El-Sayed Says Israel Is ‘Not Our Friend,’ Giving Rogers New Ammunition in Tight Michigan Senate RaceMichigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed said Israel is “not our friend,” remarks that Republicans quickly seized on in one of the closest Senate races in the country. Asked by ABC News’ Linsey Davis whether he considers Israel an… -
The Mystery Voter Guide Using Democrats To Elect Mike RogersThe GOP’s Mike Rogers curiously joins other Democrats on a “pro-democracy” flyer distributed in Michigan. This is a web version of “I’m not here to defend myself. I’m here to defend all the folks whose lives are made worse by this… -
LGBTQ+ congressional candidates could deliver a historic rebuke to MAGA Republicans at the ballot boxEquality PAC is backing candidates who could expand LGBTQ+ representation while campaigning on healthcare, affordability, and civil rights. Congressional candidate Marni Von Wilpert marches during the 2026 San Diego Pride Parade on July… -
2026 Candidate Interviews: Congress 11th District(Crystal A. Proxmire, Oct 16, 2026) Oakland County, MI – In the race for Congress in the 11th District there are five candidates on the ballot: Republican Ethan Baker, Democrat Jeremy Moss, Libertarian Farid Ishac, Green Party Candidate… - Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Portscustom page title LETTERS Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Ports Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman John Moolenaar (R-MI), House Committee on…
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He could be Michigan’s first out LGBTQ+ member of Congress. He wants Democrats to fight harderJeremy Moss could become his state’s first out LGBTQ+ member of Congress. He says the path to power requires backbone and the patience to change minds. Jeremy Moss could be the first out LGBTQ+ person to represent Michigan in Congress… -
Six, five or four? Indian Americans face an uncertain November 3Two Indian American lawmakers are on their way out of Congress. Two newcomers hope to take their place. The November 3 midterms will determine whether the Samosa Caucus can hold on to its record six members in Washington Nine years after… -
Report: LGBTQ exclusion costs Japanese economy billions a yearMeet the LGBTQ candidates running for U.S. House, Senate Trump-appointed judge restores White House TV pool access White House press pool pushes back after Trump bars three outlets Jeremy Moss looks to bring LGBTQ advocacy from Lansing to… -
In ‘The Lost Brontë,’ a complicated lie can lead to dangerAIDS Walk Los Angeles set for 42nd year amid growing challenges We asked WeHo City Council candidates your most pressing questions In Ga., 2 trans candidates believe voters are ready for them 988 restores crisis services for LGBTQ+ youth…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions