Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MI-09 House election: Lisa McClain vote percent
The odds
62.33%median
54%76%
Median 62.33%Middle half 59.67% – 64.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62.7% on Oct 20, 62.33% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 95% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 58% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 1.9K | |
| At least 60% | 73% | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | ||
| At least 62% | 54% | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | ||
| At least 64% | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| At least 66% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 68% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 400 | |
| At least 70% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 200 | ||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 74% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, Lisa McClain
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Republicans target El-Sayed as Trump rally fires up Michigan voters in Port HuronDonald Trump speaks in Port Huron ahead of midterm election on Sunday, Oct. 25 2026. PORT HURON, MI – Waves of cheers and boos filled Port Huron’s McMorran Arena as a long roster of Republican lawmakers and election hopefuls primed the… -
Hannity - Monday, October 19Fox News Hannity - Monday, October 19 John James, Lisa McClain, Mike Rogers, Town Hall, Abdul El-Sayed, Muslim Brotherhood, 2026 Midterms, Michigan Sean Hannity interviews political figures and newsmakers and offers his own perspective. -
Rogers argues El-Sayed is vulnerable with 2 traditionally Democratic blocs as Obama heads to MichiganMichigan GOP U.S. Senate nominee Mike Rogers discusses the final stretch of his campaign against Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and the influence of Democratic socialism on ‘Hannity.’ Republicans made their pitch to Michigan voters at a… -
To Those Who Haven’t Gotten the News, Democrats Are BolsheviksIn case you missed it, Democrats are now communists. The Democratic Party is no longer recognizable. They opened our borders, want to tax us into oblivion, destroy our Bill of Rights, and want illegal aliens to vote, deciding the policies… - Trump to rally in Michigan a day after Obama, near CanadaPresident Donald Trump will rally Michigan supporters in St. Clair County on Saturday – nine days before the Nov. 3 election. The city of Port Huron said the event will be the first presidential visit in county history. Trump is expected…
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Trump to rally in Michigan near Canada a day after ObamaThis story was originally published by Bridge Michigan, a nonprofit and nonpartisan news organization. Visit the newsroom online at bridgemi.com. By Simon D. Schuster, Bridge Michigan President Donald Trump is set to return to Michigan… -
Vance's Anti-Fraud Pledge Goes Nationwide — Cabinet, Governors & Congress All Sign OnThe urgency behind the effort is anchored in a single figure. Rep. Warren Davidson, signing alongside scores of House colleagues, stated that the Trump administration has uncovered more than $260 billion in fraud across federal programs… -
‘Scrappy’ conference chair helped shape GOP midterm messageFew House lawmakers have risen through party leadership ranks as fast as GOP Conference Chair Lisa McClain. Now comes the toughest political challenge she’s faced in her short time in office: helping maintain Republicans’ tenuous grasp on… - Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Portscustom page title LETTERS Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Ports Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman John Moolenaar (R-MI), House Committee on…
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Figures raised three times Marques’ third quarter haul in 2nd District raceWASHINGTON — Democratic Congressman Shomari Figures tripled his Republican opponent State Rep. Rhett Marques’ fundraising haul in the third quarter as the two compete in a tight race for Alabama’s newly redrawn 2nd Congressional District… -
Republicans have ‘more work to do’ in Congress, says House GOP chairwomanSpeaking at Vice President JD Vance’s rally in Monroe, Michigan, House Republican Conference Chairwoman Lisa McClain (Michigan) delivered the party’s final argument to voters: that Americans should keep the GOP in power because the party… - Lindsay Clancy trial holdout juror says he was truthful during jury selectionSpeaking at Vice President JD Vance’s rally in Monroe, Michigan, House Republican Conference Chairwoman Lisa McClain (Michigan) delivered the party’s final argument to voters: that Americans should keep the GOP in power because the party…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions