Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MI-02 House election: John Moolenaar vote percent
The odds
61.55%median
54%74%
Median 61.55%Middle half 58.88% – 64.07%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62.18% on Oct 20, 61.55% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 58% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| At least 60% | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 2.9K | |
| At least 62% | 46% | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | ||
| At least 64% | 26% | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | ||
| At least 66% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 68% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, John Moolenaar
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Pentagon Designates Confucius Institutes a National Security Threat“Chinese government-backed propaganda cultural programs” like Confucius Institutes had infiltrated universities in almost every state, he said, before Congress banned such institutes years ago, but they returned under different names. “It… -
Meet the candidates for Michigan’s 2nd Congressional DistrictTRAVERSE CITY — In Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District, a six-term incumbent is facing a challenge from a Marine veteran. Congressman John Moolenaar, a Republican, has represented the mid-Michigan district since 2015. Democrat Ben… - Jack Zhang’s Airwallex brings in former Trump A-G to fend off US backlashThe world according to Airwallex co-founder Jack Zhang would have it that concerns aired by a Republican-controlled congressional committee in the US over the company’s links to China are a conspiratorial political campaign seeded by…
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DHS Blocks China-Based DeepSeek From Federal IT SystemsToday, Chairman John Moolenaar of the Select Committee on China made the following statement on the Department of Homeland Security’s (DHS) order banning DeepSeek technology from all federal civilian agencies' IT systems: DHS Blocks… -
“Shocking and morally bankrupt”: Starbucks expands into the Uyghur RegionLink to Resource: Read More Starbucks has opened two stores in Urumqi, the capital of the Uyghur Region of China—a region where forced labor is so widespread that experts warn all goods produced there should be considered tainted. In 2022… -
U.S. government bans Chinese AI app DeepSeek from federal IT systemsOct. 20 (UPI) -- The federal government has banned the artificial intelligence application DeepSeek in all civilian agencies, the Department of Homeland Security announced. The department posted the order banning the company's products… -
30 US universities address research-security concerns involving foreign entities: PentagonPosted By: Gopi October 19, 2026 The Pentagon said on Monday that all 30 institutions subjected to an initial round of research-security audits had taken action to mitigate identified relationships with foreign entities of concern. The… -
Pentagon’s University Audits Result in More Than 80 Foreign Research Tie TerminationsThe Pentagon announced on Oct. 19 that research security audits of 30 American universities resulted in more than 80 termination-related actions involving foreign research relationships considered potential national security risks. All 30… -
House Committee Chairs Ask Treasury, IRS to Probe Tax-Exempt Network Tied to Shanghai-Based US MillionaireTwo House committee chairmen asked the Treasury Department and the IRS on Sept. 23 to investigate a web of tax-exempt organizations they say are financed by Neville Roy Singham, a U.S. citizen living in Shanghai. Rep. John Moolenaar… - Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Portscustom page title LETTERS Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Ports Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman John Moolenaar (R-MI), House Committee on…
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The midterms are in two weeks, here’s a run down on some of the candidatesIn two weeks Michiganders will flock to the polls to vote in the Gubernatorial Election, deciding who will lead and represent the state for the next four years. Jocelyn Benson is the current Secretary of State as well as democratic… -
GOP Lawmakers Introduce Bill to Protect US Intellectual Property From CCPTwo Republican lawmakers have introduced legislation they say will help protect U.S. intellectual property (IP) from the Chinese communist regime and other adversaries. The Protecting American Innovation and Development (PAID) Act is meant…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions