Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MD-01 House election: Andy Harris vote percent
The odds
53.32%median
48%66%
Median 53.32%Middle half 50.65% – 56.14%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56.37% on Oct 20, 53.32% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 81% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 60.00 |
| At least 52% | 64% | ▲ 1 | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 25.00 |
| At least 54% | 43% | ▲ 1 | 39¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 5.00 |
| At least 56% | 26% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 4.3K |
| At least 58% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 60% | 5% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MD- House, Andy Harris
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Maryland Eastern Shore Democrats want Rep. Andy Harris out, but not through gerrymanderingOn Maryland’s Eastern Shore, the divide between Democrats and Republicans largely reflects the bitter partisanship seen across the country. But even with a high-stakes midterm election on the horizon, rural residents by the Chesapeake Bay… -
Andy Harris vs. Dan Schwartz: Where the…Dan Schwartz reports a surge in donations, and a national forecaster has shifted its rating, but Andy Harris still holds the advantage heading into early voting. Beloved crabcake maker Pappas Seafood sold to NY holding company 5 businesses… -
Andy Harris is talking more about local issues than about TrumpABERDEEN, Md. — U.S. Rep. Andy Harris, R-Md., is staying laser-focused on local issues ahead of the midterms as the Republican majority in Washington grapples with a spiraling affordability crisis and an increasingly unpopular president… -
Andy Harris’ debate outburst fuels Dan Schwartz fundraising surgeDan Schwartz hadn’t finished his debate with Republican Rep. Andy Harris when the new campaign donations started arriving. They picked up in the days after Harris scolded the debate audience and reporters, Schwartz said — more than 3,400… -
Hutzell: Andy Harris has a temper. This will make him angry again.Michael McDowell met Andy Harris at a League of Women Voters forum. The congressman was taking audience questions and McDowell, a retired journalist for the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation, asked about his Hungarian roots. “That’s my… -
ELECTION 2026: Heidi Schmidt — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
MD House candidate still fighting redistricting referendum with appealMaryland’s Most Admired CEOs A candidate for the Maryland House of Delegates filed a last-ditch appeal to the state Supreme Court against the upcoming congressional redistricting referendum, though the attorney general’s office pushed back… -
How we should judge Andy Harris’ clash with a reporter | GUEST COMMENTARYMaryland voters deserve more than a candidate who wears their team colors. A job interview can tell you a lot about a candidate. So can the moment a congressman discovers that a student journalist has a question he doesn’t want to answer… -
New Freedom Caucus Chair Andy Harris brings spending power to head of conservative groupHouse Appropriations chief Tom Cole said he told Harris, "Congratulations and condolences.” Rep. Andy Harris will have to run again for the Freedom Caucus gavel in December. | Francis Chung/POLITICO 09/18/2024 1:00 PM EDT The House Freedom… -
ELECTION 2026: Joan Barone Cole — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
Poll shows ballot question is unpopular: Maryland Democrats urge voters to support congressional redistricting question. Republicans are pushing back.Maryland Gov. Wes Moore addresses members of the media at the Congressional Black Caucus Foundation’s 55th Annual Legislative Conference in Washington, D.C., on Thursday, Sept. 17, 2026. U.S. Rep. Andy Harris, R-Md., announces federal… -
Maryland members of Congress, elections officials targeted by suspicious lettersAlmost every member of Congress from Maryland, as well as the state’s elections office, received ominous letters filled with what turned out to be a nontoxic powder at one of their offices in the last week. It makes Maryland offices the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions