Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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MA-08 House election: Stephen Lynch vote percent
The odds
71.5%median
62%80%
Median 71.5%Middle half 68.52% – 74.36%
How the odds have moved
Median: 70.67% on Oct 19, 71.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 95% | 91¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 66% | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 68% | 79% | ▲ 1 | 75¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 29.00 |
| At least 70% | 64% | ▲ 1 | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | |
| At least 72% | 46% | ▲ 1 | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | |
| At least 74% | 28% | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | ||
| At least 76% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 78% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MA- House, Stephen Lynch
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Mass. scientist, arrested in China, must be brought home | Sen. Ed Markey & Rep. Stephen LynchThe news highlights the legislative aspect of the work that elected officials do for the people they represent on the federal level, but the work of constituent services is often as impactful. We help to navigate the federal bureaucracy… -
MIT students meet with nuclear energy policy-makersCenters, Labs, & Programs MIT students meet with nuclear energy policy-makers Previous image Next image The 2014 Nuclear Engineering Student Delegation (NESD) convened on July 6 to prepare an independent policy statement in advance of a… -
House Democrats Press SEC on AI Trading AgentsHouse Democrats have asked SEC Chair Paul Atkins to explain how the agency is overseeing AI tools that can advise retail investors or execute trades through customer accounts. The June 23 letter targets agentic trading, where AI tools may… -
White Powder Letters Hit Massachusetts Political Offices in Nationwide Pre-Election ScareNew Bedford Guide On Friday, October 16, suspicious letters arrived at the Salem office of U.S Seth Moulton and at the Elections Division of Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth Bill Galvinâs office Moultonâs staff did not open… -
Elected State Officials Receive Suspicious Lettersby Tom Gorman | Oct 16, 2026 | News U.S. Representatives Seth Moulton, Ayanna Pressley, Stephen Lynch, Lori Trahan, Jake Auchincloss and Secretary of the Commonwealth William Galvin received suspicious letters. Galvin said that his staff… -
Massachusetts lawmakers seek independent probe of Burlington ICE facilityMassachusetts lawmakers sent a letter to the U.S. Department of Homeland Security Office of the Inspector General on Thursday requesting an independent inspection into what they call "inhumane conditions" at the Burlington U.S. Immigration… -
At least 6 elected officials in Mass. are the latest to receive suspicious lettersThe Bay State is the latest state to receive suspicious letters sent to members of Congress and election offices across the nation. Representatives Seth Moulton, Stephen Lynch, Ayanna Pressley, Lori Trahan, Jake Auchincloss and Secretary… -
Former Kennedy Spox to Deliver Sunday Talk at Historical MusuemScott Ferson, a Massachusetts public relations executive and Democratic political strategist, has spent much of his career working in government, political campaigns and public affairs. This year, he became a published author and on Sunday… -
Remote Airport Terminal In Braintree Reaches Major MilestoneBRAINTREE, MA — Getting to Logan Airport could soon become a little easier for Braintree and South Shore residents. On Tuesday, Mayor Erin Joyce joined state, federal and local officials to celebrate the groundbreaking of a new remote… -
Pressley, Markey, Warren, Mass. Lawmakers’ Statement on Massachusetts Nurses NegotiationsBOSTON – Today, Congresswoman Ayanna Pressley (MA-07), Senators Edward J. Markey (D-Mass.) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Representatives Richard Neal (MA-01), Jim... Pressley, Markey, Warren, Mass. Lawmakers’ Statement on…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions