Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
58.42%median
52%72%
Median 58.42%Middle half 54.09% – 62.58%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.28% on Oct 20, 58.42% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 76% | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 200 | |
| At least 56% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 1.6K | |
| At least 58% | 53% | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 210 | |
| At least 60% | 41% | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | ||
| At least 62% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 63% | 23% | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | ||
| At least 64% | 17% | 13¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 5.00 | |
| At least 66% | 10% | 6¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 207 | |
| At least 68% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 805 | |
| At least 70% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 470 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: LA- House, Mike Johnson
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Elise Stefanik accuses Mike Johnson of "getting rolled" by Democrats and lying about defense bill provisionUpdated on: December 3, 2025 / 9:58 AM EST / CBS News Washington — GOP Rep. Elise Stefanik of New York lashed out at House Speaker Mike Johnson this week, accusing him of blocking a provision that would require the FBI to notify Congress… -
Mike Johnson's future hangs in balance as the 'accidental speaker' marks 3 yearsSpeaker of the House Mike Johnson discusses the GOP effort to keep control of Congress as the midterm elections near. Johnson also weighs in on Russian sanctions and more during 'Sunday Morning Futures.' Three years ago today marked the… -
Mike Johnson asks Trump for more midterm money as Republicans seek to avert disaster in House racesIn the final sprint to the midterms, Speaker Mike Johnson went to President Donald Trump with a crucial ask, according to a person familiar with the exchange. Johnson’s message: Could Trump spare more cash to help House Republicans in this… -
Mike Johnson is a complete and shameless liar“They’re not even within 100 miles of Baghdad. They are not in any place. They hold no place in Iraq. This is an illusion… they are trying to sell to the others an illusion.” – Mohammed Saeed al-Sahaf (Baghdad Bob) A good politician is not… -
Fox News Shows Mike Johnson That He Is About To Be UnemployedSpeaker of the House Mike Johnson (R-LA) is not dealing with his looming unemployment well. Johnson has slipped into a state that borders on delusion, and he recently claimed to Punchbowl News that he hasn’t thought about what he will do… -
Mike Johnson Doubles Down On ‘Extraordinary Record’ As Affordability Crisis Threatens GOP’s House MajorityHouse Speaker Mike Johnson on Sunday defended Republicans’ record, arguing that the GOP offers American families stability and common-sense solutions even as widespread frustration over the cost of living threatens the party’s… -
Mike Johnson tries to blame media for voters saying they don’t like the direction of the countryTrump’s approval rating is underwater as Americans complain about the economy and the war in Iran that has sent gas prices soaring Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson has tried to blame a “hostile media environment” for voters saying… -
Speaker Mike Johnson Weighs in on Left-Leaning Midterm Election Polling – “Those Polls are Wrong. They’re Based on Faulty Analysis” (VIDEO)House Speaker Mike Johnson was on “Fox News Sunday” with host Shannon Bream to talk about the midterm election polls. He explained that the polling was not accurate because “they’re based on faulty analysis.” Bream showed a Fox News poll… -
Mike Johnson Warns America Could Face France-Style Riots if Democrats Take CongressU.S. House Speaker MIKE JOHNSON (R-LA) warns that TV images of violent riots in France could offer a preview of how America may look if radical Democrats gain control of Congress on November 3rd; he also charges that Christians opting to… -
House Speaker Mike Johnson campaigns for Kevin Lincoln in competitive Central Valley congressional raceOctober 21, 2026 / 10:36 PM PDT / CBS Sacramento House Speaker Mike Johnson traveled to Stockton on Wednesday to campaign for Republican Kevin Lincoln, stepping up GOP efforts to reclaim California's 13th Congressional District less than… - Mike Johnson asks Trump for more cash as GOP scrambles to defend vulnerable House seats: ReportWASHINGTON, DC: House Speaker Mike Johnson has asked President Donald Trump for additional campaign money as Republicans scramble to protect their narrow House majority ahead of the November midterm elections, according to people familiar…
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Trump declares Dem’s House seat ‘conceded’ and orders Republicans to inform Mike JohnsonPresident Donald Trump declared Friday that Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar’s congressional seat had been “conceded” and instructed two Republican allies to deliver the news to House Speaker Mike Johnson. The remarks, during a rambling speech…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions