Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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LA-03 House election: Clay Higgins vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
61.31%median
52%74%
Median 61.31%Middle half 57.1% – 65.36%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62.49% on Oct 20, 61.31% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 2.00 | |
| At least 56% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 200 | |
| At least 58% | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 800 | |
| At least 60% | 59% | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 400 | |
| At least 62% | 46% | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 200 | |
| At least 64% | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| At least 66% | 22% | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | ||
| At least 68% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 70% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 1.00 | |
| At least 72% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: LA- House, Clay Higgins
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This Louisiana election is unusual, some observers say. Here’s why.A poster of the "I Voted" sticker by Terrance Osborne was on display during early voting for the Nov. 3 ballot. WASHINGTON – Baton Rouge pollster John Couvillon turned on his TV after Labor Day expecting — and like most political junkies… -
Candidates challenging Rep. Higgins weigh in on SpaceX, carbon capture, data centersLAKE CHARLES, La. (KPLC) - Meet the five people challenging Rep. Clay Higgins for his seat in the U.S. House, representing parts of Southwest Louisiana and Acadiana. This year’s Congressional races have been a rollercoaster for voters… -
Jim Beam column:News stories create questionsPublished 6:46 am Saturday, October 17, 2026 Newspaper stories inform readers of government and other activities but sometimes they raise questions that aren’t answered. For example, why was U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow, R-Baton Rouge, with… -
Looming mid-term elections have big implications for Louisiana’s clout in CongressWASHINGTON – Asked one too many times about predictions that the Republican majority’s days are numbered, Speaker Mike Johnson said he’d probably mow lawns for a living after ballots are counted in the Nov. 3 congressional midterms. Within… -
Amid ‘time of transition,’ Freedom Caucus sees room to grow its influenceThe House Freedom Caucus is poised to look very different next year, with several stalwarts of the hard-line conservative bloc moving on. Reps. Andy Biggs of Arizona, Byron Donalds of Florida and Tom Tiffany of Wisconsin are all running… -
Rep. Roy Asks HHS to Investigate CAIR, Islamic Groups for Potential Abuse of Taxpayer Grants and Terrorism TiesWashington, D.C. – Today, Congressman Chip Roy (TX-21) sent a letter to Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. asking his department to further investigate the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) and… -
Trump Administration Announces $37.7 Million to Train and Recruit More Rural Healthcare Workers Across LouisianaThis federal investment will connect colleges to rural providers, create new career pathways, and help communities build the workforce they need Today, the Trump Administration announced $37.7 million in Rural Health Transformation Program… -
Senator Hyde-Smith Introduces the Ecuador Shrimp Tariff Act; Making America’s Food Safer Passes the Senate; and Other Legislation Supporting U.S. Shrimpers Advances in CongressS. 5613, the Ecuador Shrimp Tariff Act Introduced Wednesday On Wednesday, Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS) announced the introduction of S. 5613, the Ecuador Shrimp Tariff Act that would gradually increase tariffs imposed on shrimp from…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions