Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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KY-06 House election: Zach Dembo vote percent
The odds
48.5%median
36%56%
Median 48.5%Middle half 46.14% – 50.85%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.01% on Oct 20, 48.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | $1.04 | 1.9K | |
| At least 44% | 92% | ▲ 3 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 46% | 77% | ▲ 4 | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | |
| At least 48% | 56% | ▲ 4 | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 145 |
| At least 50% | 34% | ▲ 3 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 1.6K |
| At least 52% | 14% | ▲ 3 | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | |
| At least 54% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KY- House, Zach Dembo
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WKYT Fact✓Check | Does Zach Dembo support higher taxes on Social Security benefits?LEXINGTON, Ky. (WKYT) - A campaign ad airing throughout Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District claims Democratic candidate Zach Dembo backs higher taxes on Social Security benefits. In the ad, Dr. Ralph Alvarado’s campaign links Dembo to… -
Not a ‘David and Goliath race’: Dems challenge long-standing Republicans in KY House racesJohn âDrewâ Williams has put around 140,000 miles on his car since he began running as a Democratic challenger to incumbent Republican U.S. Rep. James Comer last year. Democratic congressional candidate John Drew Williams speaks on… -
Alvarado distances himself from Trump on Iran war, tariffs in KY House debate with DemboThe candidates for Central Kentucky's 6th Congressional District held their only debate of the campaign Thursday night, and the surprise of the evening was Republican Ralph Alvarado putting some daylight between himself and Republican… -
Fact check: GOP attack ad links Zach Dembo to Jeffrey Epstein. Is it accurate?A new attack ad says Democratic congressional candidate Zach Dembo benefitted from a $500,000 political donation from Reid Hoffman, a wealthy friend of the late child sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, while Dembo ducked a question on releasing… -
Billionaire with Epstein ties emerges as top Dem donor bankrolling ads weaponizing disgraced financier’s filesRepublican Ralph Alvarado slams the billionaire's ties to Jeffrey Epstein and calls on Democratic opponent Zach Dembo to disavow the financial support. Reid Hoffman, the billionaire co-founder of LinkedIn who has faced scrutiny over his… -
Kentucky 6th Congressional District debate: Where Ralph Alvarado, Zach Dembo stand on key issuesLEXINGTON, Ky. (FOX 56) — With Kentucky's 6th Congressional District preparing to elect a new representative for the first time in more than a decade, Democrat Zach Dembo and Republican Dr. Ralph Alvarado laid out sharply different visions… -
The Kentucky Canary in the Coal Mine for RepublicansOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT When you think of Kentucky, you probably think of horse racing and bourbon. On election night, the state’s 6th Congressional District will be one of the first competitive House races out of the gate, and the… -
Cook Political Report moves KY-06 to ‘toss-up’ raceOn the heels of Dembo’s debate victory, national race raters wake up to the battleground in the Bluegrass as public polls show Dembo in the lead Lexington, KY - This morning, after a decisive debate victory for ninth-generation Kentuckian… -
Small Bites: TARC to offer free rides to polls on Election DayMuch like yesterday, Louisville residents can expect a sunny day with a high near 72 degrees, according to the latest forecast by the National Weather Service in Louisville. Night will be mostly clear with a low around 45 degrees. Today’s… -
Government corruption tops voter concerns ahead of Nov. 3 midterms: CNBC surveyEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Kentucky's 6th District race is now a 'toss up' between Alvarado, DemboAccording to political analysts from the Cook Political Report, the district is now a "toss up" between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo. The district, which was once led by a Democrat, has been held by… -
Dembo and Alvarado, state representative candidates set to face off in Estill County debatePictured, left to right, are Republican House candidate Ralph Alvarado and Democratic House candidate Zach Dembo. Lincoln Wilburn, a junior at Estill County High School, will be moderating an upcoming debate between several congressional…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions