Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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KY-04 House election: Melissa Strange vote percent
The odds
38.07%median
26%50%
Median 38.07%Middle half 34.89% – 41.75%
How the odds have moved
Median: 37.12% on Oct 19, 38.07% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 30% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 32% | 92% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 34% | 81% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 205 |
| At least 36% | 68% | ▲ 1 | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | |
| At least 38% | 51% | ▲ 1 | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | |
| At least 40% | 36% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 200 |
| At least 42% | 24% | ▲ 1 | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 500 |
| At least 44% | 11% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | |
| At least 46% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | |
| At least 48% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KY- House, Melissa Strange
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Alvarado distances himself from Trump on Iran war, tariffs in KY House debate with DemboThe candidates for Central Kentucky's 6th Congressional District held their only debate of the campaign Thursday night, and the surprise of the evening was Republican Ralph Alvarado putting some daylight between himself and Republican… -
KY House District featuring part of Lexington comes down to incumbent, ousted predecessorVoters in Kentucky’s House District 45 should recognize both men running for state representative Nov. 3. There’s the incumbent, freshman state Rep. Adam Moore, D-Lexington, who is finishing a two-year term in Frankfort. And there’s former… - Ron Paul backs Libertarian Jeremy Todd in race for Massie’s congressional seatFormer presidential candidate and congressman Ron Paul has endorsed Jeremy Todd to replace outgoing Rep. Thomas Massie. Todd is the Libertarian Party candidate in the upcoming general election for Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District…
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Trump Tempts Kentucky Voters With Conditional $100 Million Pharmaceutical Investment PlanHIGHLAND HEIGHTS, Ky.—President Donald Trump announced plans for the Department of War to invest $100 million to support a pharmaceutical company, but the offer is conditional on Republican victories in the midterm elections next month… -
President Trump to return to Ohio again for rally ahead of midtermsPresident Donald Trump will be back in Ohio next week, less than a week before the midterm elections. According to the Republican National Committee, Trump will travel to Chillicothe Wednesday, Oct. 28. Chillicothe is about 105 miles… -
Protestors gather outside Truist; Democrat Melissa Strange stages counter rally as Trump visitsMorning: An Intimate Campaign Gathering Hours before Trump took the stage at Truist arena, a small crowd of voters gathered on a roadside near campus, campaigning for the Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives 4th… -
Trump Dangles $100 Million Kentucky Pharma Investment, But Only If Republicans Win MidtermsAuthored by Travis Gillmore via The Epoch Times, President Donald Trump announced plans for the Department of War to invest $100 million to support a pharmaceutical company, with the offer conditional on Republicans winning the midterm… -
Melissa Strange speaks to Kenton County Rotarians in Villa HillsBefore you vote, start with LINK nky’s Election HQ. Find candidate profiles now and live results on Nov. 3. Melissa Strange spoke to the Kenton County Rotary Club in Villa Hills Thursday, pitching her policy platform and fielding questions… -
Trump to speak at midterm rally in Highland Heights, KentuckyLOUISVILLE, Ky. — President Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at a political rally in Northern Kentucky Saturday as Republicans campaign ahead of the Nov. 3 midterm elections. Trump is expected to take the stage at 2 p.m. at Truist Arena… - Melissa Strange says affordability is top priority in 4th District raceKENTON COUNTY, Ky. — Melissa Strange, the Democratic nominee in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District, is campaigning for an open U.S. House seat. Strange, who lives in Kenton County, said her campaign is focused on listening to voters in…
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Trump humiliation as pictures exposes empty seats at his rally in red statePresident Donald Trump spoke to empty seats during his campaign rally in Kentucky on Saturday. While attendees packed the floor of the Truist Arena in Highland Heights, the president failed to fill the arena's upper bowl. Several empty… -
President Trump holds midterm rally in Highland HeightsBefore you vote, start with LINK nky’s Election HQ. Find candidate profiles now and live results on Nov. 3. President Donald Trump returned to Northern Kentucky for the second time this year in hopes of swaying GOP voters in the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions