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KY-04 House election: Ed Gallrein vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.4% on Oct 20, 60.18% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 96% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 43.00 |
| At least 52% | 94% | ▼ 2 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 259 |
| At least 54% | 89% | ▼ 3 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | |
| At least 56% | 79% | ▼ 2 | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 341 |
| At least 58% | 67% | ▼ 2 | 62¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 2.7K |
| At least 60% | 52% | ▼ 2 | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 10.00 |
| At least 62% | 35% | ▼ 1 | 31¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 5.00 |
| At least 64% | 21% | ▼ 1 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | |
| At least 66% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 500 | |
| At least 68% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 70% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 8.00 | |
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 200 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KY- House, Ed Gallrein
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Not a ‘David and Goliath race’: Dems challenge long-standing Republicans in KY House racesDemocratic Congressional Candidate John Drew Williams speaks on Saturday, Aug. 1, 2026, at the annual St. Jerome Picnic in Fancy Farm, Ky. Democratic Congressional Candidate John Drew Williams speaks on Saturday, Aug. 1, 2026, at the… -
Opinion – Ed Gallrein: I intend to put service above self representing hard working KentuckiansThere are moments in life when you are called to serve. For me, that call began on a Kentucky family farm, where I learned that hard work is not something you talk about. It is something you do. You get up before the sun rises. You take on… -
Alvarado distances himself from Trump on Iran war, tariffs in KY House debate with DemboThe candidates for Central Kentucky's 6th Congressional District held their only debate of the campaign Thursday night, and the surprise of the evening was Republican Ralph Alvarado putting some daylight between himself and Republican… -
Trump rallies for Mike Rogers – and Nicki Minaj’s derriere – in MichiganTrump again congratulated Ohio senator’s rear end before his cheeky comment about rapper being ‘hard to miss’ Donald Trump reiterated his apparent love for buxom bums during a rally in Michigan on Sunday where he encouraged the crowd to… -
Trump Turns Michigan Rally Into Body-Comment BlitzDonald Trump used a Michigan campaign stop for Mike Rogers to swing from Senate politics to a string of remarks about other people’s bodies, drawing loud crowd reactions and renewing attention on his offhand style on the stump. Trump… - Ron Paul backs Libertarian Jeremy Todd in race for Massie’s congressional seatFormer presidential candidate and congressman Ron Paul has endorsed Jeremy Todd to replace outgoing Rep. Thomas Massie. Todd is the Libertarian Party candidate in the upcoming general election for Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District…
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Experts Spot A Possible Hidden Meaning Behind Trump's Recent Comments About Men's BodiesThe power to make informed choices in your life is more important than ever, and you deserve real information. Keep good journalism alive. Become a HuffPost member. “He’s over here, I’m over here, and I’m studying his body,” the president… -
Ed Gallrein, Kentucky Republican candidate for the United States House of Representativesspeaks with members of the press before President Donald Trump’s rally on Oct. 17, 2026, in Highland Heights, Kentucky. Ed Gallrein, Kentucky Republican candidate for the United States House of Representatives, speaks with members of the… -
Trump’s rally obsession: men’s bodies, jaws and ‘studs’Donald Trump has found a new way to hype Republican candidates on the trail. He keeps sizing up their bodies. At a rally in Youngstown, Ohio, earlier this month, Trump veered off script while introducing Republican senator Jon Husted. He… -
Trump’s Gay Niece + Anderson Cooper React to Pres’ Loving Men’s ButtsPublished Oct 23, 2026 Trump might want to make America great again, but lately, he seems determined to make everyone discuss his opinions on handsome men. And honey, Anderson Cooper has the receipts. During an October 12 campaign rally in… -
Trump ditches script for surreal fixation as GOP heads for the slaughterPresident Donald Trump's increasingly strange habit of complimenting male politicians' bodies is becoming a fixture of his campaign rallies, potentially serving as a weird distraction from the Republican Party's efforts to win over voters… -
MAGA pollster issues 'terrifying' midterm warning to GOP: 'A lot worse than people think'A supporter of US President Donald Trump amid empty seats during a campaign rally to support Republican House of Representatives candidate Ed Gallrein and Senate candidate Andy Barr, at Truist Arena in Highland Heights, Kentucky, US…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions