Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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KY-03 House election: Morgan McGarvey vote percent
The odds
64.69%median
56%76%
Median 64.69%Middle half 61.25% – 67.93%
How the odds have moved
Median: 65.88% on Oct 20, 64.69% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 58% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 60% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| At least 62% | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 2.4K | |
| At least 64% | 56% | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | ||
| At least 66% | 40% | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | ||
| At least 68% | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | ||
| At least 70% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 72% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 74% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KY- House, Morgan McGarvey
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Alvarado distances himself from Trump on Iran war, tariffs in KY House debate with DemboThe candidates for Central Kentucky's 6th Congressional District held their only debate of the campaign Thursday night, and the surprise of the evening was Republican Ralph Alvarado putting some daylight between himself and Republican… - Press Release: Morgan McGarvey criticizes Trump trade war and taxpayer-funded TV ads in MS NOW interviewMcGarvey criticizes Trump’s trade policies, warning they harm Kentucky bourbon, consumers, and rural hospitals. McGarvey criticizes trade policy: Congressman Morgan McGarvey said Kentucky bourbon is being hurt by trade tensions with…
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KY House District featuring part of Lexington comes down to incumbent, ousted predecessorVoters in Kentucky’s House District 45 should recognize both men running for state representative Nov. 3. There’s the incumbent, freshman state Rep. Adam Moore, D-Lexington, who is finishing a two-year term in Frankfort. And there’s former… -
'Make your voices heard': Hundreds join 'No Kings' rally in St. MatthewsLOUISVILLE, Ky. — With fewer than 20 days until the midterm elections, 200 people lined Frankfort Avenue in St. Matthews for an early voting and “No Kings” rally. “People still care. They may focus on different issues, but the basic issues… - Who has Trump endorsed in Kentucky? What to know before NKY rallyPresident Donald Trump is coming to Kentucky on Saturday, Oct. 17, as part of his multi-state "midterm blitz" tour to bolster Republican candidates across the country. Amid dropping approval ratings and concerns of low Republican voter…
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Kentucky Newsmakers 10/11: Candidates for Ky. House District 45: Killian Timoney, Adam MooreWKYT LEXINGTON, Ky. (WKYT) - On the latest edition of Kentucky Newsmakers, WKYT’s Bill Bryant speaks with the candidates for Kentucky’s 45th House District: Republican former Rep. Killian Timoney and Democratic incumbent Rep. Adam Moore…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions