Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.54%median
14%34%
Median 27.54%Middle half 25.28% – 29.95%
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IL-15 House election: Mary Miller vote percent
The odds
66.44%median
56%76%
Median 66.44%Middle half 63% – 69.79%
How the odds have moved
Median: 65.89% on Oct 19, 66.44% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 58% | 94% | 91¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 60% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 62% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| At least 64% | 69% | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | ||
| At least 66% | 54% | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | ||
| At least 68% | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| At least 70% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 72% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 74% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Mary Miller
Search ›- Press Release: Mary Miller and Bryan Steil Seek Answers Over Champaign County Election ErrorsLawmakers seek answers on Champaign County voting problems: Rep. Mary Miller and House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil said they were asking the Champaign County Clerk and Recorder for an explanation after early voting was…
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Trump urges Illinois Republicans to vote by mail, endorses Darren Bailey but skips Senate nominee Don TracyPresident Donald Trump took to social media Thursday night with an Illinois-focused post that was notable for what it didn’t include: invective-laced attacks on Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker and Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson. Instead, the… -
Rep. Miller, Chairman Steil Demand Accountability Over Champaign County Election FailuresWASHINGTON, D.C. - Today, Congresswoman Mary Miller (IL-15) joined House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (WI-01) in demanding answers from the Champaign County Clerk and Recorder following the abrupt suspension of early… -
Election Day food drive to help stock shelves at Waterbury Common MarketVolunteers once again are organizing a food drive on Election Day to help stock the shelves at the Waterbury Common Market ahead of the holiday season. “Supplies at the [market] are scarce, which is unwelcome news at a time of year when… -
Letter: Illinois Republicans stray from conservative valuesLetter to the editor I am responding to the Oct. 5 letter to the editor titled "Voters should avoid voting for Democrats in midterm elections." Where do our taxes go? I remember when conservative Republicans believed in free markets… -
‘THIS IS BRUTAL’: El-Sayed fumbles answer on ‘lying,’ report charges he ‘lost’ NBC!Networks, in their reporting on politics and politicians, like to portray that they are neutral. But they often have a favorite and often it’s not hard to detect that it is the Democrat, the progressive, or socialist, often all the same… -
‘Public office is a public trust’: Congresswoman calls for El-Sayed’s disqualification if tied to Muslim BrotherhoodBy Pedro Rodriguez, The Daily Signal Michigan Democrat Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed should be disqualified from holding office if he is tied to the Muslim Brotherhood, a designated foreign terrorist organization, a Republican… -
El-Sayed Denies Ties to Muslim Brotherhood. His Sister's Posts Say Otherwise | WATCHMichigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed was pressed on NBC over his sister's posts saying their family had long been in the Muslim Brotherhood, after he denied any ties. Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed dismissed… - GOP Rep. Mary Miller Introduces Bill to Protect Parents Who Reject Child Gender TransitionsRep. Mary Miller (R-IL) introduced a bill to stop states from removing children from fit parents over disputes about gender identity. The Yaeli Martinez Child Protection Act would bar federally funded state child-welfare agencies from…
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New GOP-led Bill in Congress Would Protect Parental Rights From Divisive Transgender IdeologyA bill to protect parents from losing custody of a child to the state for simply affirming their dependent’s biological sex over trans-identifying preferences has been introduced to the U.S. House and Senate. Earlier this month, Rep. Mary… -
New bill would protect parents who oppose ‘transitions’ from having kids taken awayWASHINGTON, D.C. (LifeSiteNews) — U.S. Rep. Mary Miller (R-IL) has introduced legislation aimed at protecting parents from having their children removed by activist child welfare services for merely refusing to go along with transgender… -
Onder faces two challengers for 3rd Congressional DistrictIncumbent Rep. Bob Onder will face two challengers – Democrat Bethany Mann and Libertarian Jim Higgins – on Nov. 3 to represent Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District. After a contentious legal battle, the district will follow its 2022…
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10.37%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.94%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.5%median
30%65%
Median 45.5%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions