Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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IL-12 House election: Julie Fortier vote percent
The odds
30.5%median
22%40%
Median 30.5%Middle half 28.14% – 33%
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.94% on Oct 19, 30.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 26% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 28% | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | ||
| At least 30% | 56% | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | ||
| At least 32% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | ||
| At least 34% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 36% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 38% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Julie Fortier
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Mike Bost and Julie Fortier vie for 12th district Congress seatIllinois’s 12th congressional district will elect a new representative on Nov. 3. The district consists of 34 counties, from Effingham, O’Fallon, Mount Vernon and Carbondale down to Cairo. Republican Mike Bost from Murphysboro has held the… -
Bost faces off against first-time Democratic candidate Fortier in Illinois District 12O’Fallon resident Julie Fortier is trying to unseat longtime Republican incumbent Rep. Mike Bost, R-Murphysboro, in Illinois’ 12th Congressional district — one of the reddest districts in the country. Bost overwhelmingly won his last two… -
Candidates for Illinois' 12th Congressional District share their positions for officeWSIU - On Air Now Playing WSIU 91.9 FM | HD1-News & Classical Candidates for Illinois' 12th Congressional District share their positions for office WSIU TV offered an opportunity for a debate between the candidates for Illinois' 12th… -
Heartland Votes Guide for Midterms. What you need to know(Heartland News) - Voters head to the polls on November 3 for the general election. To verify and update your voter registration, go to the Missouri Secretary of State website. There, you’ll also be able to find your individual ballot and… -
Republican Congressman Mike Bost on Medicaid, Iran war, and why he won’t debate his opponentRepublican Congressman Mike Bost is running for another term to represent Illinois’ 12th District, which includes roughly the bottom third of Illinois. His opponent is Democrat Julie Fortier, who joined The 21st Show in August. Bost… -
Congressman Mike Bost on gas prices, war in Iran, and why he won’t debate his Democratic opponentPlay the WILL AM news & talk livestream Play the WILL FM classical and more livestream Play the WILL FM all-classical livestream Play the Illinois Soul livestream Play the WILL TV livestream Play the WILL-TV Kids 24/7 livestream Play the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions