Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
IL-11 House election: Bill Foster vote percent
The odds
63.24%median
52%70%
Median 63.24%Middle half 60.31% – 66.38%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62.4% on Oct 19, 63.24% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 56% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 33.00 |
| At least 58% | 89% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | |
| At least 60% | 78% | ▲ 1 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | |
| At least 62% | 62% | ▲ 1 | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 50.00 |
| At least 64% | 43% | ▲ 1 | 39¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 48.00 |
| At least 66% | 28% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | |
| At least 68% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Bill Foster
Search ›-
The Sherrod Brown seniority showdownDelivered daily by 8 a.m., Morning Money examines the latest news in finance, politics and policy — and on Fridays, Morning Money: Capital Risk highlights the downstream effects on markets. By JASPER GOODMAN and VICTORIA GUIDA 10/21/2026… -
Young Democrats Go After Maxine Waters, Seem To Regret Their DecisionA center-left group representing young Democrats deleted a post criticizing Democratic California Rep. Maxine Waters’ age after receiving pushback from one of its members. Majority Democrats took aim at Waters’ campaign to remain the top… -
Democrats split over House-passed community banking packageRep. Bill Foster and other House Financial Services Committee Democrats broke with panel ranking member Maxine Waters in supporting the community banking package.Alex Brandon/AP The House passed legislation Tuesday aimed at easing… -
Council Supermajority Passes New Licensing Law That Will Gradually Ban RVs in SeattleSeparate legislation in Strauss’ five-bill package will allow the city to stand up short-term storage for unoccupied RVs; expand the city’s Unified Care Team to add eight more city outreach workers focused on RVs; and broaden the… -
Sergey Brin’s political awakeningInside the Golden State political arena By WILL MCCARTHY, JEREMY B. WHITE, MELANIE MASON and BLAKE JONES 10/20/2026 09:00 AM EDT Google co-Founder Sergey Brin listens as President Donald Trump speaks during an event at the U.S. Institute… -
19 Financial Services Democrats back Maxine Waters for top spot on panel - Live Updates - POLITICOAll but three returning Democrats on the panel have signed onto a letter supporting Waters' position as committee's party leader. Nineteen Democrats on the House Financial Services Committee have signed a letter backing Rep Maxine Waters… -
Democrats Outline Priorities for Next Congress’ House Science CommitteeHouse Science Committee Ranking Member Zoe Lofgren (D-CA) at a hearing in September. Michael Brochstein/Sipa USA via AP With the Nov. 3 election less than three weeks away, Democratic lawmakers are hoping to reverse Trump administration… -
House Democrats Press SEC on AI Trading AgentsHouse Democrats have asked SEC Chair Paul Atkins to explain how the agency is overseeing AI tools that can advise retail investors or execute trades through customer accounts. The June 23 letter targets agentic trading, where AI tools may… -
Black Caucus Financial Services members back Maxine Waters as panel's top Democrat - Live Updates - POLITICOWaters’ allies are also discussing other letters of support, including potentially one from a broader group of House Financial Services members. Seven members of the Congressional Black Caucus serving on the House Financial Services… -
Democrats Turn On Maxine Waters As Fight For Powerful Committee Post Erupts – 100PercentFedUp.com – by JackThe Democrat Party’s long-running argument over age and power has landed directly on Rep. Maxine Waters’ doorstep. Rep. Sean Casten of Illinois has told Waters he plans to challenge her for the top Democratic position on the powerful House… -
Democratic Voices, Sunday: ScienceWelcome to Democratic Voices, a series that features elected Democrats speaking out on Bluesky. Sundays I try to create some kind grouping other then by state. Today, Science. Sean Casten and Bill Foster, both from Illinois both with…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.86%median
8%28%
Median 15.86%Middle half 14.14% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.55%median
36%56%
Median 44.55%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.49% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions