Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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IL-06 House election: Niki Conforti vote percent
The odds
41%median
32%50%
Median 41%Middle half 37.58% – 43.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41% on Oct 24, 41% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 92% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| At least 36% | 85% | ▲ 1 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | |
| At least 38% | 73% | ▲ 1 | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | |
| At least 40% | 59% | ▲ 1 | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | |
| At least 42% | 42% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | |
| At least 44% | 25% | ▲ 1 | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | |
| At least 46% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 48% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Niki Conforti
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Election 2026: U.S. Representative 6th Congressional District Candidate Sean CastenDOWNERS GROVE, IL—U.S. Rep. Sean Casten is running for his fifth term in the Illinois Sixth Congressional District on the Democratic ticket. He faces GOP opponent Niki Conforti in a rematch from 2024. You can find Casten's answers to the… -
Hinsdale 2026 Voter Guide: What You Need To KnowHINSDALE, IL – The general election is less than a month away on Nov. 3, and will include statewide and local races. In past years, the Democratic and Republican parties poured money into the area's 23rd District Senate and 45th District… -
Burr Ridge 2026 Voter Guide: What You Need To KnowBURR RIDGE, IL – The general election is less than a month away on Nov. 3 and will include statewide and local races. Another big race is for DuPage County sheriff between Democrat Peter Coolidge and Republican Sean Noonan. They are vying… -
Western Springs 2026 Voter Guide: What You Need To KnowWESTERN SPRINGS, IL – The general election is less than a month away on Nov. 3 and will include statewide and local races. The District 17 Cook County Board race is far from typical, given a controversy that made headlines around the… -
La Grange 2026 Voter Guide: What You Need To KnowLA GRANGE, IL – The general election is less than a month away on Nov. 3 and will include statewide and local races. A key contest is the 4th Congressional District, where four candidates are vying to succeed Democratic Rep. Chuy Garcia of… -
Darien 2026 Voter Guide: What You Need To KnowDARIEN, IL – The general election is less than a month away on Nov. 3 and will include statewide and local races. The two state lawmakers who represent much of Darien are Sen. John Curran and Rep. Nicole La Ha, both Republicans. Neither is… -
Orland Park 2026 Voter Guide: Everything You Need To KnowORLAND PARK, IL — The Nov. 3 General Election is less than a month away, and will include the gubernatorial race, as well as various county races, sheriff, assessor and more. Early voting has already kicked off across the Chicago area… - Oak Forest 2026 Voter Guide: Everything You Need To KnowOAK FOREST, IL — The Nov. 3 General Election is less than a month away, and will include the gubernatorial race, as well as various county races, sheriff, assessor and more. Early voting has already kicked off across the Chicago area, with…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions