Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent
The odds
64.74%median
54%78%
Median 64.74%Middle half 61.68% – 67.44%
How the odds have moved
Median: 63.84% on Oct 19, 64.74% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 94% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 156 |
| At least 58% | 94% | 92¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 60% | 86% | ▼ 3 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 236 |
| At least 62% | 73% | ▼ 3 | 68¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 144 |
| At least 64% | 57% | ▲ 3 | 52¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 620 |
| At least 66% | 38% | ▲ 2 | 33¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | |
| At least 68% | 20% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | |
| At least 70% | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | |
| At least 72% | 4% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| At least 74% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 76% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Patty Garcia
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Illinois 4th District race: Chuy García’s handpicked successor Patty García defends path to CongressPatty García’s path to Congress was paved long before Election Day. The challenge now for the first-time candidate: Shaping how the voters she wants to represent see her. Her pitch was clear as she spoke to campaign volunteers in Chicago’s… -
Illinois 4th District race: Lyons Mayor Chris Getty navigates controversies in rare independent bidIn a deep-blue congressional district where the Democratic nominee faces accusations of heavy-handed political maneuvering, Lyons Mayor Chris Getty has pitched himself as a middle-ground alternative. Not a Republican. Not a Democrat, this… -
4 candidates make their case to voters in Illinois' 4th Congressional District raceBERWYN, Ill. (WLS) -- The four candidates seeking to represent Illinois' 4th Congressional District presented their competing visions to voters during a debate Tuesday night at Berwyn City Hall, less than two weeks before Election Day… -
Daywatch: Cook County commissioner seeks more data protection from ICECook County commissioners are looking to take a digital leap to help protect residents’ data from the grasp of immigration enforcement agents. The Cook County Legislation and Intergovernmental Relations Committee passed an amendment… -
Illinois' 4th Congressional District candidates make case to votersIllinois' 4th Congressional District candidates Patty Garcia, Chris Getty, Lupe Castillo and Ed Hershey made their case to voters for the election. Bukangi the shark became an unlikely sensation after it was spotted in a canal in Busan… -
2026 Illinois Midterm Elections Voter GuideRaces on your ballot, explained — so you're not guessing at the polls. Free thanks to the generous support of our members Deadlines and voting dates for the 2026 Illinois general election. Selection of races we're covering in the Chicago… -
Lyons Mayor Rakes In $400K For Congress Race, Almost Reaching Democrat Hopeful's HaulLYONS, IL – Few doubt the campaign fundraising prowess of Lyons Mayor Christopher Getty. For years, Getty, also Lyons Township's elected supervisor, has raised hundreds of thousands for his local campaign accounts, despite facing no… -
Race for Congress: Patty Garcia vs. Lupe Castillo in Illinois' 4th DistrictCBS News Race for Congress: Patty Garcia vs. Lupe Castillo in Illinois' 4th District 3 things learned at Halas Hall: William's update, no starter announced for Falcons, player injuries Prisco's Family Market in Aurora celebrates 100 years… -
Full interview with Patty Garcia, candidate for Illinois 4th Congressional DistrictCBS News Full interview with Patty Garcia, candidate for Illinois 4th Congressional District Prisco's Family Market in Aurora celebrates 100 years of service FBI investigating armored truck robbery in Cicero Roseland family's life… -
4th District race in Illinois pits Democrat Patty Garcia against Republican Lupe CastilloOctober 14, 2026 / 5:43 PM CDT / CBS Chicago U.S. Rep. Jesus "Chuy" Garcia is retiring at the end of his term, and four candidates have lined up to run for his seat in Illinois' 4th Congressional District in the upcoming November election… -
Democrat Patty García faces Chris Getty, two other challengers in race for Rep. 'Chuy' García's seatRunning to replace U.S. Rep. Jesus “Chuy” Garcia in Congress’ 4th District are: Patty Garcia, the outgoing incumbent’s former chief of staff, Chris Getty, Lyons mayor and an independent candidate, Republican Lupe Castillo, and Working… -
US Rep. Jesús 'Chuy' García reflects on 4 decades in Chicago politics as retirement nearsCHICAGO (WLS) -- U.S. Rep. Jesús "Chuy" García says he is preparing to close the book on a political career that has stretched across 40 years, reflecting on accomplishments, disappointments and the personal reasons behind his decision to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions